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League Cup

Referee: J Linington

Colchester

0–2

Full-time

Brentford

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Colchester Brentford

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

0,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%

12 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Charlton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
4	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Forest Green	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Walsall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Colchester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Rochdale	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Oxford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Hartlepool	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Rochdale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Forest Green	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Walsall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Oxford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Charlton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Colchester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Rochdale	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Hartlepool	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Colchester Brentford

32′

🟨 Frank Onyeka

39′

⚽ K. Lewis-Potter 0–1

S. Baptiste

Half-time 0–1

Tom Dallison 🟨

46′

L. Chambers 🔁

↦ T. Eastman

46′

56′

🔁 S. Ghoddos

↦ F. Onyeka

Al-Amin Kazeem 🟨

58′

C. Owens 🔁

↦ O. Ashley

64′

R. Clampin 🔁

↦ A. Kazeem

64′

🔁 Y. Wissa

↦ M. Damsgaard

65′

🔁 J. Dasilva

↦ M. Rasmussen

72′

🔁 R. Trevitt

↦ H. Dervişoğlu

72′

🔁 I. Toney

↦ K. Lewis-Potter

F. Nouble 🔁

↦ M. Miranda

83′

90′

⚽ M. Sørensen 0–2

I. Toney

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Colchester

4-2-3-1

K. O'Hara G

J. Tchamadeu D

18 T. Eastman D

6 T. Dallison-Lisbon D

30 A. Kazeem D

8 C. Skuse M

33 M. Miranda M

17 O. Ashley M

14 N. Chilvers M

19 A. Newby M

24 J. Akinde F

Bench (9)

4 L. Chambers

20 C. Owens

3 R. Clampin

45 F. Nouble

27 C. Coxe

34 S. Tovide

11 F. Sears

7 L. Hannant

1 S. Hornby

Coach: W. Brown

Brentford

4-2-3-1

T. Strakosha G

30 M. Rasmussen D

13 M. Jørgensen D

M. Sørensen D

33 F. Stevens D

F. Onyeka M

V. Janelt M

K. Lewis-Potter M

26 S. Baptiste M

M. Damsgaard M

H. Dervişoğlu F

Bench (9)

14 S. Ghoddos

11 Y. Wissa

10 J. Dasilva

35 R. Trevitt

17 I. Toney

34 M. Cox

18 P. Jansson

2 A. Hickey

8 M. Jensen

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

9. Aug LC 4 years ago

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,6 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

22,9 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Colchester

Brentford

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee