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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Everton
S U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Chelsea
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 16
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. May -22 Everton – Chelsea 1–0 16. Dec -21 Chelsea – Everton 1–1 8. Mar -21 Chelsea – Everton 2–0 12. Dec -20 Everton – Chelsea 1–0 8. Mar -20 Chelsea – Everton 4–0

Match report

Everton Chelsea
M. Holgate 🔁
↦ B. Godfrey
18′
Half-time 0–0
Yerry Mina 🟨
53′
54′
⚽ Jorginho 0–1
56′
🟨 Reece James
D. Alli 🔁
↦ D. McNeil
61′
65′
🔁 C. Pulišić
↦ M. Mount
65′
🔁 R. Loftus-Cheek
↦ B. Chilwell
Rúben Vinagre 🔁
↦ Y. Mina
70′
75′
🔁 Marc Cucurella
↦ K. Koulibaly
75′
🔁 A. Broja
↦ K. Havertz
Vitaliy Mykolenko 🟨
80′
Mason Holgate 🟨
98′
99′
🔁 C. Gallagher
↦ Jorginho
101′
🟨 Marc Cucurella
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Everton

5-4-1
1 J. Pickford G
3 N. Patterson D
22 B. Godfrey D
13 Y. Mina D
2 J. Tarkowski D
19 V. Mykolenko D
7 D. McNeil M
16 A. Doucouré M
17 A. Iwobi M
11 D. Gray M
10 A. Gordon F
Bench (9)
4 M. Holgate
20 D. Alli
29 Rúben Vinagre
56 S. Mills
51 L. Warrington
6 Allan
5 M. Keane
25 J. Gbamin
15 A. Begović

Coach: F. Lampard

Chelsea

3-4-3
16 É. Mendy G
28 César Azpilicueta D
6 Thiago Silva D
26 K. Koulibaly D
24 R. James M
7 N. Kanté M
5 Jorginho M
21 B. Chilwell M
19 M. Mount F
17 R. Sterling F
29 K. Havertz F
Bench (9)
10 C. Pulišić
12 R. Loftus-Cheek
32 Marc Cucurella
18 A. Broja
23 C. Gallagher
14 T. Chalobah
22 H. Ziyech
1 Kepa
8 M. Kovačić

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,74
🔒
U
3,96
🔒
B ✓
1,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,99
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,84
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.