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Süper Lig

Referee: Adnan Deniz Kayatepe

Kasimpasa

U U S U T

1–1

Full-time

Besiktas

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

22%

56%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,04 xG 2,57

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 0

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 14. · Besiktas 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+20	+13.3	28
2	Trabzonspor	10	7	2	1	+10	+0.7	23
3	Fenerbahce	9	5	4	0	+8	+11.7	19
4	Gaziantep	9	5	2	2	+1	+1.1	17
5	Goztep	10	4	4	2	+6	+1.0	16
6	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+4	+8.8	16
7	Samsunspor	9	4	4	1	+4	+3.8	16
8	Konyaspor	10	4	2	4	+2	-1.6	14
9	Alanyaspor	10	3	4	3	+0	-4.2	13
10	Kocaelispor	10	3	2	5	-4	-2.6	11
11	Buyuksehyr	10	2	4	4	+2	-0.3	10
12	Antalyaspor	10	3	1	6	-9	-7.2	10
13	Rizespor	9	2	3	4	-3	+2.9	9
14	Kasimpasa	9	2	3	4	-3	-3.4	9
15	Genclerbirligi	10	2	2	6	-5	-5.9	8
16	Eyüpspor	10	2	2	6	-7	-3.8	8
17	Kayserispor	10	0	6	4	-14	-7.5	6
18	Karagumruk	10	1	1	8	-12	-6.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	6	4	2	0	+8	+4.7	14
2	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+9	+5.3	13
3	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+6	+11.4	13
4	Gaziantep	5	3	1	1	+1	+3.7	10
5	Besiktas	4	3	0	1	+3	+6.2	9
6	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.6	8
7	Kocaelispor	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.9	8
8	Samsunspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+3.3	8
9	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	-1.1	7
10	Eyüpspor	5	2	1	2	-2	-1.7	7
11	Konyaspor	5	2	0	3	+0	-0.1	6
12	Genclerbirligi	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.5	4
13	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-4	+3.2	4
14	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-7	-1.7	4
15	Buyuksehyr	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.8	3
16	Kasimpasa	4	0	2	2	-2	+1.2	2
17	Kayserispor	5	0	2	3	-10	-3.8	2
18	Karagumruk	6	0	1	5	-8	-1.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+8.1	15
2	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+2	-4.0	9
3	Samsunspor	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.5	8
4	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.5	8
5	Goztep	6	2	2	2	+2	-0.7	8
6	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	+3	+0.5	7
7	Besiktas	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.6	7
8	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.5	7
9	Kasimpasa	5	2	1	2	-1	-4.6	7
10	Fenerbahce	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.3	6
11	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-2	-3.2	6
12	Antalyaspor	5	2	0	3	-2	-5.5	6
13	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.3	5
14	Genclerbirligi	5	1	1	3	-2	-6.4	4
15	Kayserispor	5	0	4	1	-4	-3.7	4
16	Karagumruk	4	1	0	3	-4	-5.0	3
17	Kocaelispor	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.5	3
18	Eyüpspor	5	0	1	4	-5	-2.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.