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Süper Lig
Referee: Cihan Aydin
Eyüpspor
U T T U T
2–0
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eyüpspor Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,2
2,2
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,98 xG 0,77
56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 10
3 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eyüpspor 16. · Kasimpasa 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 9 8 1 0 +18 +11.1 25
2 Trabzonspor 9 6 2 1 +8 +0.8 20
3 Fenerbahce 9 5 4 0 +8 +11.7 19
4 Gaziantep 9 5 2 2 +1 +1.1 17
5 Goztep 9 4 4 1 +8 +3.2 16
6 Samsunspor 9 4 4 1 +4 +3.8 16
7 Besiktas 8 4 1 3 +2 +8.0 13
8 Alanyaspor 9 3 4 2 +2 -3.6 13
9 Konyaspor 8 3 2 3 +3 -0.9 11
10 Antalyaspor 9 3 1 5 -5 -6.0 10
11 Kasimpasa 8 2 3 3 -1 -1.2 9
12 Rizespor 8 2 2 4 -3 +3.2 8
13 Genclerbirligi 9 2 2 5 -4 -5.7 8
14 Kocaelispor 9 2 2 5 -6 -3.3 8
15 Buyuksehyr 8 1 3 4 -2 -1.8 6
16 Eyüpspor 8 1 2 5 -7 -6.1 5
17 Kayserispor 9 0 5 4 -14 -7.1 5
18 Karagumruk 9 1 0 8 -12 -7.2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eyüpspor Kasimpasa
Kerem Demirbay 🟨
5′
1–0 M. Thiam
M. Legowski
15′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Cem Üstündag
62′
🔁 Cafu
↦ M. Fall
P. O. Ampem 🔁
↦ H. Akbunar
68′
T. Stepanenko 🔁
↦ Y. Kayan
75′
E. Akbaba 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
85′
U. Bozok 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
85′
85′
🔁 E. Tasdemir
↦ G. Frimpong
85′
🔁 Y. Barasi
↦ C. Ustundag
S. Seslar 🔁
↦ S. Gurler
86′
2–0 U. Bozok
S. Seslar
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Eyüpspor

4-3-3
1 Marcos Felipe G
2 Lucas Calegari D
6 R. Yalcin D
4 Luccas Claro D
18 N. Mujakic D
30 Y. Kayan M
10 K. Demirbay M
20 M. Legowski M
7 H. Akbunar F
9 M. Thiam F
11 S. Gurler F
Bench (10)
24 J. Yilmaz
5 E. Ortakaya
99 S. Seslar
8 E. Akbaba
17 T. Ulvan
19 U. Bozok
28 I. Taskin
40 P. O. Ampem
33 T. Stepanenko
77 U. Meras

Coach: Selçuk Şahin

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
1 A. Gianniotis G
2 C. Winck D
20 N. Opoku D
41 A. Szalai D
21 G. Frimpong D
6 C. Ustundag M
16 A. F. Baldursson M
7 M. Fall M
34 F. Diabate M
11 A. Kol M
17 K. Kanatsizkus F
Bench (10)
25 A. Yanar
4 A. Arous
5 A. Mujde
33 E. Tasdemir
9 Y. Barasi
8 Cafu
14 J. Espinoza
29 T. Aydin
42 E. Yigit
72 Y. Eratilla

Coach: Shota Arveladze

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,27
B
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Cihan Aydin · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.