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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Sinnes
Lillestrom
U U S S U
3–1
Full-time
Ranheim
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Ranheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,7
3,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 57%
38%
75%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
46%
92%
Both score Ø 61%
46%
75%
Average goals
2,4
4,8
Scored
1,3
3,3
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 6. · Ranheim 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 14 10 2 2 +14 32
2 Ranheim 12 9 0 3 +22 27
3 Sogndal 12 6 3 3 +8 21
4 Sandnes ULF 13 6 3 4 -5 21
5 Grorud 14 5 5 4 +3 20
6 Lillestrom 13 5 5 3 +3 20
7 Asane 13 5 4 4 +4 19
8 Stjørdals-Blink 14 5 4 5 +0 19
9 KFUM Oslo 14 4 5 5 -2 17
10 Jerv 13 3 6 4 -5 15
11 Raufoss 13 3 5 5 -1 14
12 Strommen 13 4 2 7 -6 14
13 Kongsvinger 13 3 4 6 -8 13
14 Ull/Kisa 13 2 5 6 -9 11
15 Øygarden 13 2 5 6 -10 11
16 Ham-Kam 13 2 4 7 -8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Ranheim
42′
E. Dønnem 0–1
Half-time 0–1
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ M. Knudsen
61′
M. Ebiye 🔁
↦ B. Sigurðarson
61′
67′
🔁 M. Karlsen
↦ I. Rønning
76′
🔁 O. Sæter
↦ E. Tønne
79′
🟨 M. Blakstad
T. Kallevåg 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
82′
A. Melgalvis 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
82′
1–1 M. Ebiye
85′
E. Garnås 🔁
↦ P. Slørdahl
88′
90′
🔁 S. Sørløkk
↦ O. Sæter
2–1 F. Krogstad
91′
3–1 T. Olsen
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
3 S. Mikalsen
22 P. Slørdahl
6 K. Kairinen
8 I. Mathew
21 M. Knudsen
16 B. Sigurðarson
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (8)
14 F. Krogstad
18 M. Ebiye
7 T. Kallevåg
33 A. Melgalvis
4 E. Garnås
25 J. Coppens
26 L. Ranger
35 E. Smidesang Edh

Coach: G. Bakke

Ranheim

12 M. Lenes
15 E. Tønne
3 D. Kvande
4 M. Lundal
5 Ø. Alseth
14 T. Heggem
7 M. Reginiussen
11 E. Dønnem
6 M. Blakstad
22 S. Solli
18 I. Rønning
Bench (6)
9 M. Karlsen
20 O. Sæter
17 S. Sørløkk
1 E. Barli
26 S. Langås
16 R. Williams

Coach: S. Maalen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sinnes · 93 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.