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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Johan William Grundt
Ranheim
S U T S T
0–4
Full-time
Lillestrom
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ranheim Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 52%
40%
64%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
55%
Both score Ø 48%
60%
36%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ranheim 13. · Lillestrom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 11 7 4 0 +17 25
2 Start 11 6 3 2 +7 21
3 Sogndal 11 6 1 4 +5 19
4 Kongsvinger 11 5 3 3 +9 18
5 Odd 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Egersund 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Asane 12 4 4 4 -2 16
8 Moss 12 5 1 6 -7 16
9 hodd 11 4 3 4 -2 15
10 Aalesund 9 3 5 1 +4 14
11 Raufoss 11 3 5 3 -1 14
12 Stabaek 11 3 4 4 -2 13
13 Ranheim 10 4 1 5 -2 13
14 Lyn 11 2 2 7 -5 8
15 Mjondalen 11 1 4 6 -14 7
16 Skeid 11 0 3 8 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ranheim Lillestrom
26′
E. Kitolano 0–1
S. Drammeh
42′
S. Foss 0–2
45′
T. Olsen 0–3
E. Kitolano
Half-time 0–3
L. Alvheim 🟨
56′
O. Holden 🔁
↦ M. Emilsen
60′
S. Diop 🔁
↦ V. Wenaas
60′
66′
T. Olsen 0–4
M. Karlsbakk
68′
🔁 E. B. Garnas
↦ S. Foss
69′
🔁 G. Asen
↦ Felix Va
L. Kolstad 🔁
↦ M. Johnsen
70′
B. Bye 🔁
↦ L. Alvheim
70′
76′
🔁 L. Ranger
↦ E. Larsson
76′
🔁 J. Adedeji
↦ S. Drammeh
H. Gangstad 🔁
↦ E. Tonne
84′
84′
🔁 H. Woxen
↦ M. Karlsbakk
O. Holden 🟨
91′
94′
🟨 H. Woxen
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Ranheim

1 S. Nilsen
19 J. Pereira
15 E. Tonne
21 M. Johnsen
2 P. Slordahl
3 C. Aasbak
18 F. Camara
14 M. Emilsen
11 V. Wenaas
20 L. Alvheim
10 A. Samuelsen
Bench (9)
5 M. Diang
6 L. Kolstad
8 O. Holden
9 B. Bye
16 S. Diop
17 D. Torp-Helland
24 H. Gangstad
26 J. Gundersen
30 T. Solvoll

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
64 E. Larsson
11 F. Elkaer
6 V. Hoff
28 R. Gabrielsen
5 S. Foss
8 M. Karlsbakk
17 E. Kitolano
10 T. Olsen
15 S. Drammeh
20 Felix Va
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
2 L. Ranger
4 E. B. Garnas
9 K. Arierhi
14 J. Adedeji
19 K. Tonnesen
23 G. Asen
32 H. Woxen
33 M. Diop

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.