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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Ole-Alexander Ekeli Valen
Kongsvinger
T T U S S
4–3
Full-time
Mjondalen
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 26%
35%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
76%
67%
Both score Ø 72%
76%
67%
Average goals
3,6
3,5
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,6
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 7. · Mjondalen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 19 14 5 0 +35 47
2 Start 19 11 4 4 +16 37
3 Aalesund 17 7 8 2 +6 29
4 Sogndal 18 8 4 6 +4 28
5 Lyn 18 8 3 7 +8 27
6 Egersund 17 8 3 6 +0 27
7 Kongsvinger 17 6 6 5 +5 24
8 Ranheim 17 7 3 7 -3 24
9 Raufoss 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Odd 19 6 5 8 -2 23
11 hodd 19 6 5 8 -8 23
12 Moss 19 6 4 9 -10 22
13 Asane 18 5 5 8 -7 20
14 Stabaek 18 3 6 9 -11 15
15 Mjondalen 18 3 5 10 -21 14
16 Skeid 19 1 8 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Mjondalen
1–0 M. Vinjor
J. Grundt
18′
24′
🔁 F. Kvam
↦ F. Holst-Larsen
27′
A. Molund 1–1
2–1 L. Haren
A. Dybevik
45′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 J. Grundt
F. Holme
49′
59′
K. Arierhi 3–2
61′
🟨 E. Sawaneh
M. Flores 🔁
↦ J. Nilsson
62′
67′
🔁 J. Bruusgaard
↦ L. Reutersward
67′
A. Molund 3–3
M. Gjerstrom 🔁
↦ J. Grundt
72′
J. Holtan 🔁
↦ M. Vinjor
72′
F. Holme 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 O. Midtgard
↦ K. Arierhi
77′
🔁 K. Bata
↦ E. Sawaneh
77′
🔁 S. Eriksen
↦ F. Godwin
4–3 J. Holtan
A. Dybevik
85′
H. Holter 🔁
↦ F. Christensen
87′
M. Mbow 🔁
↦ D. Lysgard
87′
M. Flores 🟨
93′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

93 A. Gorodovoy
2 J. Nilsson
19 E. Nielsen
14 F. Christensen
21 D. Lysgard
29 S. Norheim
5 F. Holme
8 J. Grundt
27 A. Dybevik
9 L. Haren
23 M. Vinjor
Bench (9)
71 S. Ekerhaugen
3 P. Fjellman
6 H. Holter
12 M. Mbow
13 M. Flores
17 M. Gjerstrom
18 J. Holtan
20 A. Sandstad
28 R. Christiansen

Coach: Johan Peter Wennberg

Mjondalen

87 L. Oy
6 J. Skau
5 E. Midtgarden
2 I. Vik
10 K. Saetherbo
30 F. Holst-Larsen
16 F. Godwin
3 A. Molund
28 E. Sawaneh
20 K. Arierhi
7 L. Reutersward
Bench (9)
13 P. S. Bro
11 J. Bruusgaard
14 O. Midtgard
15 F. Kvam
17 K. Bata
18 N. Arsbog
25 T. Ogboji
26 S. Eriksen
27 K. Kekeli

Coach: Kevin Andrew Nicol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.