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Super League
Referee: Zampalas
2–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalamata Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
5,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
3,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,41 xG 2,69
37% Possession 63%
7 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 10
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Kalamata Aris Thessalonikis
13′
ℹ️ Noah Fadiga
VAR: Penalty cancelled
1–0 J. Bolivar
A. Mendes Moreira
41′
Rodrigues 🟨
44′
Petros Kaloutsikidis 🟨
44′
45′
U. Racic 1–1
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Fabiano
2–1 K. Vargas
J. Cataldi
60′
66′
🔁 O. Boussaid
↦ G. Gianniotas
66′
🔁 M. Alfarela
↦ S. Palacios
I. Chatzitheodoridis 🔁
↦ P. Kaloutsikidis
68′
U. Ignjatovic 🔁
↦ J. Alonso
68′
J. Bonetto 🔁
↦ K. Vargas
68′
A. Liatsikouras 🔁
↦ J. Cataldi
75′
78′
ℹ️ Noah Fadiga
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 L. Moron
↦ T. Dele-Bashiru
A. Guessand 🔁
↦ Rodrigues
82′
83′
🟨 Jeremy Petris
84′
🟨 Uroš Račić
Jovanny Bolívar 🟥
85′
88′
Fabiano 2–2
B. Garre
90′
Fabiano 2–3
O. Boussaid
95′
🔁 K. Galanopoulos
↦ R. Mir
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Kalamata

4-4-2
1 I. Gelios G
22 P. Kaloutsikidis D
4 S. Stroungis D
97 Rodrigues D
17 J. Alonso D
77 K. Vargas M
7 J. Cataldi M
6 D. Diarra M
20 A. Mendes Moreira M
24 E. Hamza F
9 J. Bolivar F
Bench (11)
40 N. Vasiljevic
70 P. Varelas
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
18 P. Panagiotou
44 A. Guessand
29 U. Ignjatovic
21 M. Carreazo
8 A. Liatsikouras
32 J. Bonetto
19 M. J. Bakayoko
64 S. Mouzakis

Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
33 R. Velho G
2 J. Petris D
4 Fabiano D
97 F. Jensen D
27 N. Fadiga D
20 T. Dele-Bashiru M
10 U. Racic M
34 S. Palacios M
7 B. Garre M
70 G. Gianniotas M
17 R. Mir F
Bench (12)
1 S. Dioudis
24 A. Barmpopoulos
88 M. Kerkez
45 M. Thiam
6 K. Galanopoulos
22 M. Voriazidis
30 C. Kamtsis
14 D. Sanoussi
49 O. Boussaid
80 L. Moron
41 K. Charoupas
19 M. Alfarela

Coach: Michalis Grigoriou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.