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Süper Lig
Referee: Yasin Kol
1–2
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S U S U U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genclerbirligi Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,35 xG 0,77
43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genclerbirligi 10. · Kasimpasa 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Besiktas 5 4 0 1 +8 +6.7 12
2 Galatasaray 4 3 1 0 +6 +7.3 10
3 Kocaelispor 4 3 0 1 +2 -1.1 9
4 Rizespor 5 3 0 2 +1 +3.4 9
5 Alanyaspor 5 2 2 1 +1 -1.1 8
6 Trabzonspor 5 2 1 2 +4 -0.3 7
7 Corum 5 2 1 2 +2 -1.4 7
8 Amedspor 4 2 1 1 +2 +2.4 7
9 Gaziantep 4 2 1 1 +2 +0.3 7
10 Genclerbirligi 4 2 1 1 -3 -4.5 7
11 Fenerbahce 4 2 0 2 +2 +1.9 6
12 Kasimpasa 4 1 3 0 +1 +1.1 6
13 Buyuksehyr 4 1 1 2 +0 +0.2 4
14 Samsunspor 5 1 1 3 -5 -1.9 4
15 Erzurumspor 5 1 1 3 -9 -5.9 4
16 Konyaspor 5 1 0 4 -4 -0.5 3
17 Eyüpspor 5 1 0 4 -6 -3.5 3
18 Goztep 5 0 2 3 -4 -2.9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genclerbirligi Kasimpasa
1–0 O. Diabate
D. Goutas
23′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Rafferty
↦ E. Boz
46′
🔁 J. Jessen
↦ A. Karapo
47′
🟨 E. Mendes
O. Diabate 🟨
54′
M. Diyadin 🟨
55′
61′
🔁 G. Yalcin
↦ J. Rak-Sakyi
R. Luis 🔁
↦ F. Tongya
68′
Thalisson Kelven 🟨
77′
77′
🔁 T. Diarra
↦ K. Demirbay
F. Uzum 🔁
↦ A. Traore
77′
S. Koita 🔁
↦ P. Mendes
77′
79′
A. Benedyczak 1–1
T. Gouveia 🟨
82′
83′
🟨 C. Winck
M. Baltaci 🔁
↦ Thalisson Kelven
85′
S. Ucan 🔁
↦ O. Ulgun
85′
89′
🔁 A. Arous
↦ M. Ilie
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genclerbirligi

4-1-4-1
70 İrfan Can Eğribayat G
13 Pedro Pereira D
6 Dimitris Goutas D
2 Thalisson D
77 Abdurrahim Dursun D
42 Ousmane Diabate M
14 Adama Malouda Traoré M
35 Oğulcan Ülgün M
10 Franco Tongya M
7 Tiago Gouveia M
9 Pedro Mendes F
Bench (10)
23 Gökhan Akkan
90 Metehan Baltacı
88 Fıratcan Üzüm
53 Ensar Çavuşoğlu
3 Yiğit Hamza Aydar
83 Rafael Luis
48 Salih Uçan
20 Sekou Koita
12 Victor Orakpo
45 Prince Martor

Coach: Metin Diyadin

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
1 Andreas Gianniotis G
2 Cláudio Winck D
14 Kevin Mouanga D
27 Matei Ilie D
45 Ayberk Karapo D
51 Elson Mendes M
26 Kerem Demirbay M
17 Jesurun Rak-Sakyi M
66 Emirhan Boz M
7 Ali Yavuz Kol M
9 Adrian Benedyczak F
Bench (10)
25 Ali Emre Yanar
4 Adem Arous
30 Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
5 Jakob Jessen
19 Marcus Rafferty
35 Sercan Deniz
11 Thiemoko Diarra
8 Atakan Mujde
50 Güven Yalçın
99 Muhammed Bektaş

Coach: Emre Belozoglu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U
3,21
B ✓
3,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,33
U1,5
3,15
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,68
O3,5
3,75
U3,5 ✓
1,25
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,79
BLS nei
1,91

Referee

Yasin Kol · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.