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Puchar Polski
Referee: S Rasmus
Arka Gdynia
T U S T S
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Motor Lublin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Pogoń Siedlce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Radunia Stężyca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Kalisz 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Olimpia Elbląg 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Slask Wroclaw 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Chrobry Głogów 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Wisla Plock 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Ruch Chorzow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Jastrzębie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Legia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Lechia Zielona Góra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 LKS Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Lechia Dzierżoniów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
60 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
62 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.