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Puchar Polski

Referee: K Jakubik

Arka Gdynia

T S U S S

0–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Puchar Polski · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,5

4,0

Conceded

0,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Arka Gdynia 7. · Lech Poznan 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Piast Gliwice	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Wisla	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Jagiellonia	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Korona Kielce	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Arka Gdynia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Warta Poznan	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Stal Mielec	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Carina Gubin	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Wisła Puławy	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Stal Rzeszów	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Garbarnia Kraków	3	2	0	1	+0	6
17	Polonia Warszawa	3	2	0	1	-1	6
18	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Legia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Polonia Bytom	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Znicz Pruszków	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Podbeskidzie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Stal Brzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Puszcza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Legia Warszawa II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Resovia Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Tychy 71	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Nieciecza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
40	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Carina Gubin	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Wisła Puławy	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Stal Brzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Legia Warszawa II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Garbarnia Kraków	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Tychy 71	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Polonia Bytom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	LKS Lodz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Piast Gliwice	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Arka Gdynia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Warta Poznan	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Stal Mielec	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Korona Kielce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Legia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Puszcza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Polonia Warszawa	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.