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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
Korona Kielce
S T U T S
0–2
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Piast Gliwice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
36%
18%
Both score Ø 36%
36%
36%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,91 xG 2,30
55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 13. · Piast Gliwice 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 11 8 1 2 +14 +6.2 25
2 Rakow 11 7 2 2 +11 +8.1 23
3 Cracovia 11 7 2 2 +7 +1.8 23
4 Jagiellonia 11 7 1 3 +1 -2.0 22
5 Pogon Szczecin 11 6 1 4 +4 +4.7 19
6 Legia 11 4 4 3 +6 +5.2 16
7 Widzew Lodz 11 4 4 3 +1 -1.9 16
8 GKS Katowice 11 4 3 4 +5 +1.0 15
9 Piast Gliwice 11 4 3 4 +0 +0.9 15
10 Motor Lublin 11 4 3 4 -3 -3.2 15
11 Zaglebie 11 4 2 5 -6 -2.8 14
12 Gornik Zabrze 11 3 3 5 -1 +1.5 12
13 Korona Kielce 11 3 3 5 -7 -3.6 12
14 Stal Mielec 10 3 2 5 -3 +0.3 11
15 Radomiak Radom 10 3 0 7 -4 -1.0 9
16 Lechia Gdansk 11 2 3 6 -8 -9.2 9
17 Puszcza 11 1 5 5 -9 -7.2 8
18 Slask Wroclaw 9 0 4 5 -8 +1.3 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Piast Gliwice
7′
🟨 Tomáš Huk
16′
Jorge Félix 0–1
17′
🟨 Michał Chrapek
40′
🟨 Andreas Katsantonis
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 I. Drapiński
↦ J. Lewicki
49′
M. Rosołek 0–2
M. Chrapek
52′
🟨 Igor Drapinski
D. Błanik 🔁
↦ M. Remacle
57′
D. Trejo 🔁
↦ S. Nagamatsu
57′
E. Shikavka 🔁
↦ Adrián Dalmau
57′
70′
🔁 F. Piasecki
↦ A. Katsantonis
70′
🔁 D. Kądzior
↦ M. Szczepański
Pau Resta 🟨
78′
M. Strzeboński 🔁
↦ Y. Hofmeister
81′
82′
🔁 T. Kostadinov
↦ G. Tomasiewicz
93′
🟨 Jakub Czerwiński
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

3-4-2-1
87 R. Mamla G
2 D. Zator D
5 Pau Resta D
6 M. Pięczek D
71 W. Długosz M
8 M. Remacle M
18 Y. Hofmeister M
3 K. Matuszewski M
27 Pedro Nuno F
10 S. Nagamatsu F
20 Adrián Dalmau F
Bench (9)
7 D. Błanik
21 D. Trejo
9 E. Shikavka
13 M. Strzeboński
37 H. Zwoźny
24 B. Smolarczyk
73 M. Zapytowski
15 I. Kośmicki
88 W. Kamiński

Coach: J. Zieliński

Piast Gliwice

4-4-2
26 F. Plach G
77 A. Pyrka D
5 T. Huk D
4 J. Czerwiński D
36 J. Lewicki D
39 M. Rosołek M
6 M. Chrapek M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
7 Jorge Félix M
30 M. Szczepański F
70 A. Katsantonis F
Bench (9)
29 I. Drapiński
9 F. Piasecki
92 D. Kądzior
96 T. Kostadinov
33 K. Szymański
14 Miguel Nóbrega
23 S. Mucha
3 Miguel Muñoz
22 T. Mokwa

Coach: A. Vuković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.