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Primeira Liga

Referee: André Narciso

Arouca

T U T U U

4–1

Full-time

Famalicao

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Famalicao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

63%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,9

1,6

Scored

0,9

0,6

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arouca 14. · Famalicao 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+18	25
2	Porto	9	7	1	1	+16	22
3	Sp Braga	9	6	1	2	+14	19
4	Casa Pia	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Sp Lisbon	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Boavista	9	5	1	3	-4	16
7	Estoril	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Portimonense	9	5	0	4	-1	15
9	Guimaraes	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Chaves	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Vizela	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Rio Ave	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Gil Vicente	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Arouca	8	2	3	3	-9	9
15	Famalicao	8	2	1	5	-3	7
16	Santa Clara	9	1	2	6	-5	5
17	Pacos Ferreira	9	0	2	7	-11	2
18	Maritimo	9	0	1	8	-19	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
3	Sp Braga	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Boavista	5	3	1	1	+0	10
5	Sp Lisbon	4	3	0	1	+7	9
6	Portimonense	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Casa Pia	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Rio Ave	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Famalicao	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Estoril	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Arouca	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	Chaves	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Estoril	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Porto	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Casa Pia	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+7	9
6	Chaves	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Vizela	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Portimonense	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Boavista	4	2	0	2	-4	6
12	Arouca	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Gil Vicente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Rio Ave	5	0	3	2	-5	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Famalicao	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Maritimo	5	0	1	4	-15	1
18	Santa Clara	4	0	0	4	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.