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Copa del Rey
Referee: Gorka Etayo
San Juan
0–2
Full-time
Numancia
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Diocesano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Intercity 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
47 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
62 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
63 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
94 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
95 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

San Juan Numancia
Eder Iribarren 🔁
↦ Joaquín Recalde
24′
Half-time 0–0
Ander Iriguibel 🔁
↦ Alberto Rives
53′
Eneko Ezcurra 🔁
↦ Adrián Recalde
53′
54′
⚽ Jesús Carrillo 0–1
Adrián Mance
66′
🔁 Toni Arranz
↦ Jordi Tur
71′
🔁 Arthur
↦ Antonio Cotán
71′
🔁 Rubén Mesa
↦ Julián Mahicas
72′
⚽ Rubén Mesa 0–2
David González
79′
🟨 R. Mesa
Iñaki Lalinde 🔁
↦ Miguel Lezaun
80′
Álex Gómez 🔁
↦ Iker Ezcurra
80′
86′
🔁 Óscar García
↦ Jesús Carrillo
86′
🔁 E. Sidibeh
↦ Adrián Mance
J. Rusinol 🟨
91′
A. Iriguibel 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

San Juan

1 Ángel Fraga
4 Iker Ezcurra
15 Oier Retegui
3 Álex Mendoza
6 Rubén Morillas
21 Adrián Recalde
16 Joan Rusiñol
11 Miguel Lezaun
9 Alberto Rives
10 Marcos Olcoz
19 Joaquín Recalde
Bench (7)
14 Eder Iribarren
7 Ander Iriguibel
20 Eneko Ezcurra
8 Iñaki Lalinde
22 Álex Gómez
2 Íñigo Morte
25 Aritz Cardenas

Coach: Alfredo Íbero

Numancia

1 Gaizka Ayesa
4 M. Šimić
2 Borja San Emeterio
18 Jorge Valín
16 Vicario
8 Antonio Cotán
20 Jordi Tur
17 Adrián Mance
10 Jesús Carrillo
19 David González
12 Julián Mahicas
Bench (9)
22 Toni Arranz
6 Arthur
9 Rubén Mesa
28 Óscar García
26 E. Sidibeh
15 Gorka Pérez
29 Javier Vidorreta
13 Ismael Gil
5 Fer Román

Coach: Pablo Ayuso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
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O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.