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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Eibar
U S S U T
1–3
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
43%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 7. · Sp Gijon 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huesca 8 5 0 3 +6 15
2 Levante 7 4 2 1 +5 14
3 Burgos 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Santander 7 4 2 1 +4 14
5 Zaragoza 7 4 1 2 +7 13
6 Mirandes 7 3 3 1 +3 12
7 Eibar 7 3 3 1 +2 12
8 Eldense 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Oviedo 7 3 2 2 -1 11
10 Castellon 7 3 1 3 +2 10
11 Elche 8 3 1 4 +0 10
12 Malaga 7 2 4 1 -1 10
13 Sp Gijon 7 2 3 2 +1 9
14 Albacete 7 3 0 4 -2 9
15 Cadiz 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Cordoba 7 2 2 3 -2 8
17 Granada 7 1 4 2 -2 7
18 La Coruna 7 2 1 4 -2 7
19 Cartagena 7 2 0 5 -4 6
20 Almeria 7 1 3 3 -5 6
21 Ferrol 8 1 3 4 -6 6
22 Tenerife 7 0 2 5 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Sp Gijon
1–0 Jon Bautista
Xeber Alkain
18′
29′
Jonathan Dubasin 1–1
Pablo García
31′
ℹ️ Jonathan Dubasin
VAR: Goal confirmed
Jorge Pascual 🟨
34′
39′
José Corpas 2–1
own goal
43′
🟨 Lander Olaetxea
Half-time 2–1
Chema Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Álvaro Carrillo
46′
Matheus Pereira 🟨
49′
49′
🟨 César Gelabert
59′
🔁 Nacho Martín
↦ Dani Queipo
59′
🔁 Gaspar Campos
↦ César Gelabert
Chema 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Nikola Maraš
Sergio Álvarez 🔁
↦ José Corpas
65′
Ander Madariaga 🔁
↦ Antonio Puertas
65′
67′
🔁 J. Caicedo
↦ J. Otero
72′
🟨 Gaspar Campos
76′
🟨 Jordy Caicedo
76′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ Jonathan Dubasin
77′
🔁 Jesús Bernal
↦ N. Maraš
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
78′
Martín Merquelanz 🔁
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
79′
Toni Villa 🔁
↦ Peru Nolaskoain
86′
95′
Gaspar Campos 2–2
Guille Rosas
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Fuzato G
17 José Corpas D
4 Álvaro Carrillo D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
3 Cristian Gutiérrez D
8 Peru Nolaskoain M
10 Matheus Pereira M
7 Xeber Alkain M
11 Jorge Pascual M
20 Antonio Puertas M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (10)
5 Chema Rodríguez
6 Sergio Álvarez
29 Ander Madariaga
18 Martín Merquelanz
19 Toni Villa
15 K. Hashimoto
26 Ibon Ispizua
27 Slavy
2 Sergio Cubero
14 Hodei Arrillaga

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
15 N. Maraš D
4 Róber Pier D
5 Pablo García D
18 César Gelabert M
14 Lander Olaetxea M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
19 J. Otero F
9 Dani Queipo F
Bench (10)
6 Nacho Martín
7 Gaspar Campos
16 J. Caicedo
11 Víctor Campuzano
8 Jesús Bernal
13 C. Sánchez
29 Y. Kembo
27 Álex Oyón
20 Kevin Vázquez
3 Cote

Coach: Rubén Albés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U
2,97
B ✓
4,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.