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Copa del Rey
Referee: Daniel Trujillo
Marbella
1–3
Full-time
Ferrol
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +12 3
2 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Deportivo Murcia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Hernán Cortés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
45 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
46 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
47 Zamora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Rubí 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
100 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5 ✓
–
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U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
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BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Daniel Trujillo · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.