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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Ferrol
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Cartagena
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
44%
11%
Points per game
1,7
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
22%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 10. · Cartagena 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 9 6 2 1 +11 20
2 Leganes 10 6 1 3 +7 19
3 Zaragoza 9 6 1 2 +7 19
4 Levante 10 5 4 1 +5 19
5 Valladolid 10 6 1 3 +4 19
6 Tenerife 9 6 0 3 +4 18
7 Eibar 10 6 0 4 +3 18
8 Sp Gijon 10 5 2 3 +3 17
9 Santander 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Ferrol 9 4 3 2 +0 15
11 Albacete 10 4 2 4 -1 14
12 Burgos 9 4 1 4 +1 13
13 Eldense 10 3 2 5 -6 11
14 Villarreal B 9 2 4 3 +0 10
15 Oviedo 10 2 4 4 -1 10
16 Mirandes 10 3 1 6 -5 10
17 Andorra 9 3 1 5 -5 10
18 Amorebieta 10 2 3 5 -1 9
19 Elche 9 2 3 4 -6 9
20 Huesca 10 1 4 5 -5 7
21 Alcorcon 9 1 3 5 -9 6
22 Cartagena 9 1 1 7 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U ✓
3,35
B
4,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.