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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Ferrol
U U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Amorebieta
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Amorebieta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 12. · Amorebieta 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 9 6 1 2 +7 19
2 Leganes 9 6 0 3 +7 18
3 Tenerife 9 6 0 3 +4 18
4 Espanol 8 5 2 1 +9 17
5 Sp Gijon 9 5 2 2 +4 17
6 Levante 9 4 4 1 +3 16
7 Valladolid 9 5 1 3 +3 16
8 Eibar 9 5 0 4 +2 15
9 Albacete 9 4 2 3 +1 14
10 Burgos 9 4 1 4 +1 13
11 Santander 9 3 3 3 +1 12
12 Ferrol 8 3 3 2 -1 12
13 Villarreal B 9 2 4 3 +0 10
14 Mirandes 9 3 1 5 -4 10
15 Andorra 9 3 1 5 -5 10
16 Amorebieta 8 2 3 3 +1 9
17 Oviedo 9 2 3 4 -1 9
18 Elche 9 2 3 4 -6 9
19 Eldense 9 2 2 5 -7 8
20 Huesca 9 1 4 4 -4 7
21 Alcorcon 9 1 3 5 -9 6
22 Cartagena 8 1 1 6 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ferrol Amorebieta
1–0 Carlos Vicente
Iker Losada
35′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 Josué Dorrio
↦ Jon Morcillo
Sabin Merino 🔁
↦ Álvaro Giménez
75′
Fran Manzanara 🔁
↦ Héber Pena
75′
Álex López 🔁
↦ Josep Señé
80′
Sergio Cubero 🔁
↦ Carlos Vicente
80′
Nacho Sánchez 🔁
↦ Iker Losada
80′
80′
🔁 M. Da Graca
↦ Eneko Jauregi
81′
🔁 R. Edwards
↦ Rayco Rodríguez
86′
🟨 Iker Seguin
87′
🔁 Daniel Lasure
↦ Iker Seguín
87′
🔁 Javier Avilés
↦ Félix Garreta
Alex López 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-4-2
25 Ander Cantero G
2 Julián Delmás D
4 Jon García D
15 David Castro D
18 Brais Martínez D
23 Carlos Vicente M
6 Jesús Bernal M
10 Josep Señé M
7 Héber Pena M
20 Álvaro Giménez F
22 Iker Losada F
Bench (11)
19 Sabin Merino
16 Fran Manzanara
8 Álex López
24 Sergio Cubero
11 Nacho Sánchez
3 Fernando Pumar
13 Emilio Bernad
9 Manu Justo
5 Enrique Clemente
14 Álvaro Vadillo
1 G. Gazzaniga

Coach: Cristóbal

Amorebieta

4-4-2
30 Pablo Cuñat G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
4 Manu Hernando D
24 Josep Gayá D
28 Félix Garreta D
17 Rayco Rodríguez M
21 Àlex Carbonell M
20 K. Sibo M
11 Iker Seguín M
9 Eneko Jauregi F
22 Jon Morcillo F
Bench (10)
7 Josué Dorrio
29 M. Da Graca
10 R. Edwards
16 Daniel Lasure
19 Javier Avilés
13 Jon Mikel
27 L. Quintero
14 Eraso
8 Erik Morán
1 Unai Marino

Coach: Haritz Mújika

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,33
B
4,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.