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Championship
Referee: T Kirk
Swansea
S T U T S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,34 xG 0,58
56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 19. · Sheffield United 23.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 West Brom 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.8 6
2 Coventry 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.8 4
3 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +3 -1.0 3
4 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
5 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.0 3
6 Southampton 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.3 3
7 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.9 3
8 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
9 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
10 Norwich 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.8 3
11 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
12 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
13 Ipswich 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
14 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
15 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
16 Hull 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.0 1
17 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.9 0
18 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.5 0
19 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
20 Watford 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
21 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.2 0
22 Wrexham 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.6 0
23 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -3 +1.0 0
24 Derby 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Sheffield United
16′
🟨 Gustavo Hamer
Ronald 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Tyrese Campbell
M. Widell 🔁
↦ M. Yalcouye
62′
Z. Inoussa 🔁
↦ J. Eom
62′
62′
🔁 T. Cannon
↦ T. Campbell
1–0 Ronald
66′
70′
🟨 Djibril Soumaré
76′
🔁 A. Brooks
↦ D. Soumare
76′
🔁 R. One
↦ L. Barry
J. Fulton 🔁
↦ Ronald
90′
B. Wales 🔁
↦ L. Cullen
98′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1
22 L. Vigouroux G
2 J. Key D
5 B. Cabango D
15 C. Burgess D
14 J. Tymon D
17 G. Franco M
30 E. Galbraith M
35 Ronald M
8 M. Yalcouye M
10 J. Eom M
20 L. Cullen F
Bench (9)
1 A. Fisher
26 K. Casey
41 S. Parker
31 O. Cooper
4 J. Fulton
7 M. Widell
27 Z. Inoussa
9 Z. Vipotnik
24 B. Wales

Coach: Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos

Sheffield United

4-3-3
1 M. Cooper G
38 F. Seriki D
6 T. Bindon D
19 J. Robinson D
14 H. Burrows D
8 G. Hamer M
18 D. Soumare M
42 S. Peck M
10 C. O'Hare F
23 T. Campbell F
27 L. Barry F
Bench (9)
17 A. Davies
29 S. Curtis
3 S. McCallum
33 R. Norrington-Davies
11 A. Brooks
35 O. Hampson
20 E. Ukaki
7 T. Cannon
26 R. One

Coach: Chris Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
3,21
B
2,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Kirk · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.