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Championship

Referee: J Smith

Sheffield United

S U S S T

1–4

Full-time

Bristol City

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Bristol City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,30 xG 1,30

74% Possession 26%

20 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

14 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
3	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
4	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
9	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
13	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
14	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
15	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
16	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
17	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
18	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
19	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
20	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
7	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
8	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
9	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
10	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
2	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
3	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
4	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
5	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
6	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
7	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
8	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
9	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
10	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.