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Ligue 1
Referee: T Leonard
Nice
S T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Toulouse
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,79 xG 0,61
57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Feb -25 Toulouse – Nice 1–1 25. Aug -24 Nice – Toulouse 1–1 3. Mar -24 Toulouse – Nice 2–1 26. Nov -23 Nice – Toulouse 1–0 21. May -23 Nice – Toulouse 0–0

Match report

Nice Toulouse
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Jaydee Canvot
51′
🟨 Dayann Methalie
65′
🟨 Mario Sauer
68′
🔁 W. Kamanzi
↦ N. Edjouma
68′
🔁 A. Vossah
↦ M. Sauer
S. Abdul Samed 🔁
↦ T. Louchet
76′
S. Diop 🔁
↦ B. Bouanani
76′
J. Boga 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
76′
B. Nguene 🔁
↦ T. Moffi
76′
76′
🔁 S. Hidalgo
↦ F. Magri
Bernard Nguene 🟨
78′
82′
🔁 R. Nicolaisen
↦ D. Methalie
89′
⚽ D. Sidibe 0–1
S. Hidalgo
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ K. Peprah
91′
Hicham Boudaoui 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nice

3-4-2-1
80 Y. Diouf G
33 A. Mendy D
28 J. Bah D
37 K. Peprah D
92 J. Clauss M
6 H. Boudaoui M
20 T. Louchet M
26 M. Bard M
19 B. Bouanani F
21 I. Jansson F
9 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
31 M. Dupe
36 H. Koutoune
99 S. Abdul Samed
23 G. Bernardeau
39 D. Coulibaly
10 S. Diop
7 J. Boga
14 B. Brahimi
49 B. Nguene

Coach: Claude Puel

Toulouse

3-4-3
1 G. Restes G
19 D. Sidibe D
4 C. Cresswell D
3 M. McKenzie D
15 A. Donnum M
29 J. Canvot M
77 M. Sauer M
24 D. Methalie M
31 N. Edjouma F
9 F. Magri F
10 Y. Gboho F
Bench (9)
16 K. Haug
42 T. Garondo
35 S. Koumbassa
2 R. Nicolaisen
12 W. Kamanzi
45 A. Vossah
39 M. Saka
21 E. Faty
11 S. Hidalgo

Coach: Carles Martinez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B ✓
3,47
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,98
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,78
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Leonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.