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Premier League
Referee: S Barrott
Brighton
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Fulham
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,48 xG 0,76
50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Mar -25 Brighton – Fulham 2–1 5. Dec -24 Fulham – Brighton 3–1 2. Mar -24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 29. Oct -23 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 18. Feb -23 Brighton – Fulham 0–1

Match report

Brighton Fulham
31′
🟨 Calvin Bassey
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. O'Riley ⚽
55′
Kaoru Mitoma 🟨
60′
66′
🔁 T. Cairney
↦ S. Berge
66′
🔁 A. Traore
↦ A. Iwobi
66′
🔁 Rodrigo Muniz
↦ R. Jimenez
D. Welbeck 🔁
↦ G. Rutter
69′
D. Gomez 🔁
↦ C. Baleba
69′
F. Kadioglu 🔁
↦ Y. Minteh
69′
Ferdi Kadıoğlu 🟨
73′
77′
🔁 E. Smith Rowe
↦ J. King
Diego Gómez 🟨
78′
B. Gruda 🔁
↦ K. Mitoma
83′
84′
🔁 T. Castagne
↦ J. Cuenca
J. Milner 🔁
↦ M. O'Riley
88′
90′
⚽ Rodrigo Muniz 1–1
93′
🟨 Tom Cairney
98′
🟨 Rodrigo Muniz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brighton

4-2-3-1
1 B. Verbruggen G
27 M. Wieffer D
6 J. P. van Hecke D
5 L. Dunk D
29 M. De Cuyper D
17 C. Baleba M
26 Y. Ayari M
11 Y. Minteh M
33 M. O'Riley M
22 K. Mitoma M
10 G. Rutter F
Bench (9)
23 J. Steele
20 J. Milner
18 D. Welbeck
34 J. Veltman
21 O. Boscagli
42 D. Coppola
8 B. Gruda
25 D. Gomez
24 F. Kadioglu

Coach: Fabian Hurzeler

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
2 K. Tete D
5 J. Andersen D
15 J. Cuenca D
3 C. Bassey D
20 S. Lukic M
16 S. Berge M
8 H. Wilson M
24 J. King M
17 A. Iwobi M
7 R. Jimenez F
Bench (9)
23 B. Lecomte
10 T. Cairney
11 A. Traore
31 I. Diop
32 E. Smith Rowe
18 Andreas Pereira
21 T. Castagne
6 H. Reed
9 Rodrigo Muniz

Coach: Marco Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
🔒
U ✓
3,62
🔒
B
3,91
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,71
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,08
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.