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Bundesliga

Referee: A Talic

Ried

T T T U T

1–3

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 9. · Sturm Graz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	2	1	0	+6	+4.2	7
2	Tirol	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.9	7
3	Altach	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.1	6
4	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.8	6
5	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.9	3
6	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
7	Hartberg	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
8	Grazer AK	3	0	2	1	-5	-3.0	2
9	Ried	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.4	1
10	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.0	1
11	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.2	0
12	LASK	2	0	0	2	-4	-5.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tirol	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
2	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.7	3
3	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
4	Altach	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	Grazer AK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
6	Ried	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
7	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
8	Sturm Graz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
9	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
10	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
11	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
12	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
2	Altach	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
3	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
4	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
5	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
6	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
7	Austria Vienna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
8	Tirol	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
10	Ried	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
11	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
12	Grazer AK	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.