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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak

GKS Katowice

S T U T T

4–1

Full-time

Arka Gdynia

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GKS Katowice Arka Gdynia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

42% Possession 58%

24 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GKS Katowice 18. · Arka Gdynia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.8	10
2	Cracovia	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.5	10
3	Legia	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.6	7
4	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.1	7
5	Nieciecza	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.2	7
6	Widzew Lodz	5	2	1	2	+2	+2.2	7
7	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.5	6
8	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.2	6
9	Lech Poznan	3	2	0	1	-1	+3.4	6
10	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	+3	+2.2	5
11	Arka Gdynia	4	1	2	1	+0	-3.8	5
12	Motor Lublin	4	1	2	1	-2	-1.0	5
13	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.1	4
14	Pogon Szczecin	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.0	4
15	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.3	3
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-6	-4.3	2
17	Piast Gliwice	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1
18	GKS Katowice	4	0	1	3	-6	-5.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.1	7
2	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.6	7
3	Radomiak Radom	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.2	6
4	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.8	6
5	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.5	6
6	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.2	4
7	Legia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
8	Arka Gdynia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
9	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
10	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
11	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
12	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
13	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	-2	+1.7	3
14	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
15	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	GKS Katowice	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.0	1
17	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
18	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.5	6
2	Wisla Plock	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
3	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
5	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
7	Rakow	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.8	3
8	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
9	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
10	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.2	1
11	Piast Gliwice	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.8	1
12	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.9	1
13	Radomiak Radom	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.3	1
14	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-4.2	1
15	Pogon Szczecin	3	0	1	2	-5	+1.6	1
16	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.1	0
17	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.