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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Alaves
U T S S U
2–1
Full-time
Levante
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,29 xG 0,87
62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Alaves Levante
9′
🟨 Manuel Sánchez
1–0 T. Martinez
C. Alena
36′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 J. Morales
↦ V. Garcia
68′
J. Toljan 1–1
M. Diaz 🔁
↦ P. Ibanez
77′
A. Rebbach 🔁
↦ J. Guridi
77′
79′
🔁 D. Varela Pampin
↦ M. Sanchez
79′
🔁 S. Lozano
↦ I. Romero
85′
🔁 M. Moreno
↦ P. Martinez
Calebe 🔁
↦ C. Vicente
86′
86′
🔁 C. Alvarez
↦ R. Brugue
2–1 N. Tenaglia
90′
Yusi 🔁
↦ V. Parada
91′
A. Guevara 🔁
↦ C. Alena
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-1-4-1
1 A. Sivera G
17 Jonny Otto D
2 F. Garces D
14 N. Tenaglia D
24 V. Parada D
8 A. Blanco M
7 C. Vicente M
18 J. Guridi M
19 P. Ibanez M
10 C. Alena M
11 T. Martinez F
Bench (10)
13 R. Fernandez
3 Yusi
4 N. Maras
6 A. Guevara
9 M. Diaz
20 Calebe
21 A. Rebbach
22 M. Diarra
23 C. Protesoni
28 L. Pinillos Wilson

Coach: Eduardo Germán Coudet

Levante

5-4-1
1 P. Cunat G
22 J. Toljan D
4 Dela D
5 U. Elgezabal D
14 J. Cabello D
23 M. Sanchez D
17 V. Garcia M
10 P. Martinez M
20 O. Rey M
7 R. Brugue M
9 I. Romero F
Bench (12)
32 A. Primo
2 M. Moreno
6 D. Varela Pampin
11 J. Morales
19 C. Espi
21 S. Lozano
24 C. Alvarez
34 C. Romero
28 M. Krug
29 N. Perez
27 P. Cortes
33 J. Ruiz

Coach: Julián Calero Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
3,04
B
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,58
U2,5
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma Espinosa · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.