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Championship
Referee: F Hallam
Middlesbrough
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Swansea
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,35 xG 0,10
54% Possession 46%
6 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 6
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Mar -25 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–0 10. Aug -24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 6. Apr -24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–0 16. Dec -23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 11. Mar -23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–3

Match report

Middlesbrough Swansea
Samuel Silvera 🟨
10′
29′
🟨 Jay Fulton
41′
🟨 Gonçalo Franco
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Fry ⚽
M. Whittaker
51′
60′
🟨 Ethan Galbraith
63′
🔁 Z. Vipotnik
↦ E. Galbraith
63′
🔁 Z. Inoussa
↦ J. Eom
A. Kante 🔁
↦ D. Burgzorg
71′
71′
🔁 M. Widell
↦ Ronald
75′
🔁 K. Casey
↦ B. Cabango
Neto Borges 🔁
↦ C. Brittain
82′
M. Forss 🔁
↦ T. Conway
89′
96′
🟨 Cameron Burgess
Luke Ayling 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Liam Cullen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

3-4-2-1
31 S. Brynn G
12 L. Ayling D
6 D. Fry D
5 A. Jones D
2 C. Brittain M
18 A. Morris M
7 H. Hackney M
22 S. Silvera M
11 M. Whittaker F
10 D. Burgzorg F
9 T. Conway F
Bench (9)
4 D. Barlaser
14 A. Gilbert
21 M. Forss
23 T. Glover
28 L. McCabe
30 Neto Borges
37 G. McCormick
39 S. Finch
42 A. Kante

Coach: Kim Hellberg

Swansea

4-2-3-1
22 L. Vigouroux G
2 J. Key D
5 B. Cabango D
15 C. Burgess D
14 J. Tymon D
17 G. Franco M
4 J. Fulton M
35 Ronald M
30 E. Galbraith M
10 J. Eom M
20 L. Cullen F
Bench (9)
1 A. Fisher
7 M. Widell
9 Z. Vipotnik
24 B. Wales
26 K. Casey
27 Z. Inoussa
31 O. Cooper
41 S. Parker
45 C. Congreve

Coach: Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
🔒
U
3,47
🔒
B
3,64
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,92
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Hallam · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.