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DFB-Pokal
Referee: F Prigan
Cottbus
T T T
1–0
Full-time
Hannover
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cottbus Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,7
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
4,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-3,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
5 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Illertissen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 St Pauli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
21 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
22 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
23 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
24 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cottbus Hannover
1–0 T. Cigerci
E. Engelhardt
12′
27′
🟨 Boris Tomiak
33′
🟨 Ime Okon
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Oudenne
↦ M. Neubauer
46′
🔁 D. Yokota
↦ J. Rochelt
J. Boziaris 🔁
↦ J. Hofmann
67′
T. Tattermusch 🔁
↦ J. Butler
67′
Tim Campulka 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 B. Kallman
↦ B. Pichler
Axel Borgmann 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Noël Aséko
C. Y. Moustfa 🔁
↦ E. Engelhardt
77′
Jannis Boziaris 🟨
81′
Alexander Sebald 🟨
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cottbus

4-3-3
1 A. Sebald G
3 H. Rorig D
4 T. Campulka D
23 N. Awortwie-Grant D
21 L. Guwara D
6 J. Hofmann M
5 D. Pelivan M
20 A. Borgmann M
10 T. Cigerci F
18 E. Engelhardt F
31 J. Butler F
Bench (9)
15 D. Duah
19 J. Boziaris
36 J. Juckel
17 C. Y. Moustfa
22 T. Ogbidi
11 M. Hannemann
25 T. Tattermusch
7 T. Thiele
30 M. Bohnke

Coach: Claus-Dieter Wollitz

Hannover

3-4-3
1 N. Noll G
20 I. Okon D
3 B. Tomiak D
5 V. Ghita D
27 H. Matsuda M
15 N. Aseko-Nkili M
8 E. Leopold M
33 M. Neubauer M
14 H. Chakroun F
11 B. Pichler F
10 J. Rochelt F
Bench (9)
30 L. Weinkauf
4 H. Blank
17 B. Allgeier
29 K. Oudenne
21 F. Roggow
38 M. Worl
9 B. Kallman
16 H. Nielsen
18 D. Yokota

Coach: Christian Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Prigan · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.