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Ligue 1
Referee: R Lissorgue
Lens
S T S U S
0–1
Full-time
Lyon
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,38 xG 1,41
55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 8
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. May -25 Lyon – Lens 1–2 15. Sep -24 Lens – Lyon 0–0 3. Mar -24 Lyon – Lens 0–3 2. Dec -23 Lens – Lyon 3–2 12. Feb -23 Lyon – Lens 2–1

Line-ups

Lens

3-4-2-1
40 R. Risser G
6 S. Baidoo D
20 M. Sarr D
14 M. Udol D
2 R. Aguilar M
28 A. Thomasson M
18 A. Diouf M
3 D. Machado M
22 W. Said F
29 M. Guilavogui F
38 R. Fofana F
Bench (9)
1 R. Gurtner
12 S. Abdulhamid
4 I. Ganiou
30 A. Bulatovic
15 H. Ojediran
37 F. Sylla
26 A. Bermont
7 F. Sotoca
10 F. Thauvin

Coach: Pierre Sage

Lyon

4-2-3-1
40 R. Descamps G
20 S. Kumbedi D
22 C. Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
16 Abner Vinicius D
23 T. Morton M
6 T. Tessmann M
98 A. Maitland-Niles M
8 C. Tolisso M
11 M. Fofana M
69 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (9)
50 L. Diarra
21 R. Kluivert
3 N. Tagliafico
7 A. Karabec
44 K. Merah
39 M. de Carvalho
10 P. Sulc
17 A. Moreira
32 A. Gomes

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,29
🔒
U
3,56
🔒
B ✓
2,87
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,66
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,14
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Lissorgue · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.