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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

Grazer AK

U S U U T

1–1

Full-time

Tirol

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grazer AK Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

4,5

5,0

Scored

1,0

3,5

Conceded

3,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grazer AK 10. · Tirol 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tirol	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
2	Altach	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.1	6
3	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.8	6
4	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+5	+4.2	4
5	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.9	3
6	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
7	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
8	Ried	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.4	1
9	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.0	1
10	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-5	-3.0	1
11	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.2	0
12	LASK	2	0	0	2	-4	-5.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tirol	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
2	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.7	3
3	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
4	Altach	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	Grazer AK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
6	Ried	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
7	Sturm Graz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
8	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
9	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
10	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
11	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
2	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
3	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
4	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
5	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
6	Austria Vienna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Salzburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
8	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
9	Ried	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
10	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
11	Grazer AK	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.