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League Cup
Referee: Benjamin Speedie
Swansea
S S T U T
3–1
Full-time
Crawley Town
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Crawley Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,43 xG 0,79
61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5 ✓
–
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U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.