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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybył

Pogon Szczecin

T S S T T

3–0

Full-time

Motor Lublin

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 46%

52%

39%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

52%

55%

Both score Ø 49%

39%

58%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,82 xG 0,29

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 4. · Motor Lublin 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	32	21	3	8	+36	+12.1	66
2	Rakow	32	19	8	5	+27	+10.3	65
3	Jagiellonia	32	17	8	7	+14	+3.5	59
4	Pogon Szczecin	31	16	5	10	+16	+15.8	53
5	Legia	31	14	8	9	+15	+14.6	50
6	Gornik Zabrze	32	13	7	12	+6	+5.3	46
7	Cracovia	32	12	9	11	+2	-5.6	45
8	GKS Katowice	32	13	6	13	+1	-2.3	45
9	Korona Kielce	32	11	10	11	-8	-0.6	43
10	Motor Lublin	31	12	7	12	-10	-2.3	43
11	Piast Gliwice	32	10	12	10	+0	-1.8	42
12	Radomiak Radom	32	11	7	14	-3	+0.1	40
13	Widzew Lodz	31	10	7	14	-10	-7.0	37
14	Lechia Gdansk	32	10	6	16	-14	-16.2	36
15	Zaglebie	32	10	6	16	-16	-6.8	36
16	Stal Mielec	32	7	8	17	-17	-0.5	29
17	Slask Wroclaw	32	6	10	16	-15	-0.1	28
18	Puszcza	32	6	9	17	-24	-18.2	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	16	14	0	2	+33	+11.4	42
2	Pogon Szczecin	15	12	1	2	+19	+15.5	37
3	Jagiellonia	16	9	5	2	+14	+4.7	32
4	Legia	16	9	3	4	+14	+10.9	30
5	Rakow	16	9	3	4	+12	+6.5	30
6	GKS Katowice	16	8	4	4	+7	-4.1	28
7	Gornik Zabrze	16	8	3	5	+9	+5.8	27
8	Korona Kielce	16	8	2	6	+1	+5.8	26
9	Radomiak Radom	16	6	5	5	+6	+4.6	23
10	Widzew Lodz	15	7	2	6	-1	-0.4	23
11	Lechia Gdansk	16	7	2	7	-4	-6.2	23
12	Motor Lublin	16	6	4	6	-1	-1.9	22
13	Zaglebie	16	6	3	7	-4	-4.0	21
14	Piast Gliwice	16	4	8	4	-2	-0.6	20
15	Stal Mielec	16	5	5	6	-3	+3.9	20
16	Slask Wroclaw	16	4	6	6	-1	-0.7	18
17	Cracovia	16	4	6	6	-2	-1.3	18
18	Puszcza	16	4	6	6	-3	-3.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	16	10	5	1	+15	+3.8	35
2	Cracovia	16	8	3	5	+4	-4.4	27
3	Jagiellonia	16	8	3	5	+0	-1.3	27
4	Lech Poznan	16	7	3	6	+3	+0.7	24
5	Piast Gliwice	16	6	4	6	+2	-1.2	22
6	Motor Lublin	15	6	3	6	-9	-0.4	21
7	Legia	15	5	5	5	+1	+3.7	20
8	Gornik Zabrze	16	5	4	7	-3	-0.5	19
9	GKS Katowice	16	5	2	9	-6	+1.7	17
10	Radomiak Radom	16	5	2	9	-9	-4.5	17
11	Korona Kielce	16	3	8	5	-9	-6.4	17
12	Pogon Szczecin	16	4	4	8	-3	+0.3	16
13	Zaglebie	16	4	3	9	-12	-2.8	15
14	Widzew Lodz	16	3	5	8	-9	-6.6	14
15	Lechia Gdansk	16	3	4	9	-10	-10.1	13
16	Slask Wroclaw	16	2	4	10	-14	+0.6	10
17	Stal Mielec	16	2	3	11	-14	-4.3	9
18	Puszcza	16	2	3	11	-21	-14.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.