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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Raczkowski
Wisla Plock
T S S T T
0–4
Full-time
Motor Lublin
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Plock Motor Lublin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 34%
39%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
32%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
61%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,63 xG 1,64
57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
11 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wisla Plock 7. · Motor Lublin 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 32 15 11 6 +15 +27.8 56
2 Jagiellonia 31 13 10 8 +12 -3.8 49
3 Rakow 31 14 7 10 +8 +8.2 49
4 Gornik Zabrze 31 14 7 10 +7 -3.3 49
5 Zaglebie 32 13 9 10 +9 -7.3 48
6 GKS Katowice 32 14 6 12 +6 -5.4 48
7 Wisla Plock 31 12 9 10 +1 -2.2 45
8 Radomiak Radom 31 11 10 10 +5 -0.4 43
9 Lechia Gdansk 32 12 7 13 -1 +5.6 43
10 Piast Gliwice 32 11 8 13 -1 -0.8 41
11 Pogon Szczecin 32 12 5 15 -3 +4.2 41
12 Legia 31 9 13 9 -1 +3.4 40
13 Widzew Lodz 32 11 6 15 +0 +4.2 39
14 Korona Kielce 32 10 9 13 -1 -3.8 39
15 Cracovia 31 9 12 10 -3 +1.5 39
16 Motor Lublin 31 9 12 10 -7 -9.9 39
17 Arka Gdynia 31 9 8 14 -23 -8.6 35
18 Nieciecza 31 7 7 17 -23 -9.4 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Plock Motor Lublin
7′
B. Wolski 0–1
T. Tavares 🔁
↦ D. Pacheco
25′
31′
K. Czubak 0–2
B. Wolski
Marcus Haglind Sangre 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Karol Czubak
42′
🟨 Arkadiusz Najemski
Half-time 0–2
Q. Lecoeuche 🔁
↦ M. Kaminski
46′
M. Djalo 🔁
↦ K. Pomorski
46′
G. Niarchos 🔁
↦ D. Juric
46′
Žan Rogelj 🟨
47′
64′
🔁 T. Santos
↦ P. Stolarski
65′
🔁 Fabio Ronaldo
↦ B. van Hoeven
77′
🔁 R. Dadashov
↦ K. Czubak
77′
🔁 M. Krol
↦ M. Ndiaye
S. Hamulic 🔁
↦ D. Gallapeni
80′
80′
M. Bartos 0–3
B. Wolski
82′
🔁 H. Matthys
↦ A. Najemski
88′
Fabio Ronaldo 0–4
I. Rodrigues
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Wisla Plock

3-5-2
26 J. Burek G
4 M. Haglind-Sangre D
35 M. Kaminski D
25 N. Mijuskovic D
21 Z. Rogelj M
6 K. Pomorski M
8 D. Pacheco M
30 W. Nowak M
19 D. Gallapeni M
20 L. Sekulski F
99 D. Juric F
Bench (12)
1 S. Pruszkowski
13 Q. Lecoeuche
77 S. Hamulic
18 D. Sarapata
37 M. Bokhno
14 D. Kun
16 F. Hiszpanski
2 K. Custovic
84 T. Tavares
66 I. Salvador
17 M. Djalo
9 G. Niarchos

Coach: Mariusz Misiura

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1
33 G. Tratnik G
28 P. Stolarski D
39 M. Bartos D
18 A. Najemski D
24 F. Luberecki D
6 S. Samper M
30 M. Ndiaye M
68 B. Wolski M
7 I. Rodrigues M
19 B. van Hoeven M
9 K. Czubak F
Bench (12)
99 P. Kukulski
3 H. Matthys
77 R. Dadashov
21 J. Labojko
29 T. Santos
2 P. Meyer
42 B. Ede
17 F. Wojcik
26 M. Krol
8 M. Scalet
10 K. Karasek
11 Fabio Ronaldo

Coach: Mateusz Stolarski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Raczkowski · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.