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Puchar Polski

Arka Gdynia

T T S T U

1–0

Full-time

Motor Lublin

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Polonia Bytom	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Hutnik Kraków	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Świt Skolwin	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Jastrzębie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Avia Świdnik	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Goczałkowice Zdrój B	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Legnica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Wikielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Gryf Słupsk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Podbeskidzie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Flota Świnoujście	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Małapanew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Polonia Warszawa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Łomża	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Hutnik Kraków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Avia Świdnik	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Goczałkowice Zdrój B	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Legnica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Wikielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Gryf Słupsk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Świt Skolwin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Flota Świnoujście	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Małapanew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Łomża	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Jastrzębie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Świt Skolwin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Hutnik Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Polonia Warszawa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.