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Conference League
Referee: Chrysovalantis Theouli
Lincoln Red Imps FC
U U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lincoln Red Imps FC Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
3,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
5,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,03 xG 2,89
38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.