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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybył

Korona Kielce

T U T T U

0–2

Full-time

Rakow

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

17%

48%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

35%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,34 xG 1,54

54% Possession 46%

19 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Korona Kielce 15. · Rakow 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	24	13	6	5	+20	+11.0	45
2	Slask Wroclaw	24	13	6	5	+13	+2.8	45
3	Lech Poznan	24	11	8	5	+6	-3.0	41
4	Rakow	23	11	7	5	+18	+15.4	40
5	Pogon Szczecin	24	12	4	8	+16	+12.2	40
6	Legia	24	10	8	6	+6	+9.8	38
7	Gornik Zabrze	24	10	6	8	+4	-3.3	36
8	Stal Mielec	24	10	5	9	+0	-8.5	35
9	Zaglebie	24	9	6	9	-8	+1.4	33
10	Widzew Lodz	24	9	4	11	-3	-3.8	31
11	Radomiak Radom	24	8	7	9	-7	+0.2	31
12	Piast Gliwice	24	5	13	6	-3	+8.4	28
13	Cracovia	24	5	12	7	-1	-0.4	27
14	Warta Poznan	24	6	9	9	-5	-7.0	27
15	Korona Kielce	23	4	11	8	-4	-1.8	23
16	Puszcza	24	5	8	11	-13	-15.2	23
17	Ruch Chorzow	24	2	12	10	-12	-6.1	18
18	LKS Lodz	24	4	4	16	-27	-11.9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	12	9	3	0	+23	+12.1	30
2	Jagiellonia	12	9	2	1	+20	+11.1	29
3	Lech Poznan	12	7	3	2	+12	+1.3	24
4	Stal Mielec	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.9	24
5	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	3	2	+6	-2.5	24
6	Legia	12	6	4	2	+9	+10.6	22
7	Slask Wroclaw	12	6	3	3	+7	+7.3	21
8	Widzew Lodz	12	7	0	5	+0	+3.7	21
9	Zaglebie	12	5	4	3	+0	+0.2	19
10	Puszcza	12	4	6	2	+0	-4.5	18
11	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	2	5	+3	+13.1	17
12	Piast Gliwice	12	4	5	3	+2	+8.7	17
13	Korona Kielce	11	3	6	2	+3	+6.3	15
14	Cracovia	12	3	5	4	+1	+1.1	14
15	Radomiak Radom	12	3	5	4	-2	+2.3	14
16	LKS Lodz	12	3	4	5	-10	-8.2	13
17	Ruch Chorzow	12	2	6	4	-2	+1.5	12
18	Warta Poznan	12	2	4	6	-5	-2.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	12	7	3	2	+6	-4.4	24
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	2	3	+13	-1.0	23
3	Warta Poznan	12	4	5	3	+0	-4.7	17
4	Radomiak Radom	12	5	2	5	-5	-2.1	17
5	Lech Poznan	12	4	5	3	-6	-4.3	17
6	Jagiellonia	12	4	4	4	+0	-0.1	16
7	Legia	12	4	4	4	-3	-0.8	16
8	Zaglebie	12	4	2	6	-8	+1.3	14
9	Cracovia	12	2	7	3	-2	-1.5	13
10	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	3	6	-2	-0.8	12
11	Piast Gliwice	12	1	8	3	-5	-0.3	11
12	Stal Mielec	12	3	2	7	-9	-9.4	11
13	Widzew Lodz	12	2	4	6	-3	-7.5	10
14	Rakow	11	2	4	5	-5	+3.3	10
15	Korona Kielce	12	1	5	6	-7	-8.1	8
16	Ruch Chorzow	12	0	6	6	-10	-7.6	6
17	Puszcza	12	1	2	9	-13	-10.7	5
18	LKS Lodz	12	1	0	11	-17	-3.8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.