Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Slask Wroclaw
Rakow
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +16 | +7.7 | 28 |
| 2 |
Rakow
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +12 | +9.3 | 26 |
| 3 |
Cracovia
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | +0.3 | 26 |
| 4 |
Jagiellonia
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +3 | -1.4 | 25 |
| 5 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +4 | +3.7 | 22 |
| 6 |
Legia
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +8 | +7.8 | 19 |
| 7 |
Widzew Lodz
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +2 | -1.1 | 19 |
| 8 |
Piast Gliwice
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | +0.2 | 19 |
| 9 |
GKS Katowice
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +5 | +1.5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +1 | +2.1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Motor Lublin
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | -4.0 | 15 |
| 12 |
Zaglebie
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | -3.4 | 14 |
| 13 |
Radomiak Radom
|
11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -2 | +0.3 | 12 |
| 14 |
Korona Kielce
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | -5.0 | 12 |
| 15 |
Stal Mielec
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | +0.7 | 11 |
| 16 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -10 | -9.7 | 10 |
| 17 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | -0.3 | 8 |
| 18 |
Puszcza
|
13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -12 | -8.7 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Leszczyński
A. Petkov
T. Guercio
M. Żukowski
S. Jasper
P. Samiec-Talar
Coach: J. Magiera
K. Trelowski
Z. Arsenić
S. Svarnas
Ivi López
G. Berggren
Jean Carlos
V. Kochergin
F. Tudor
M. Ameyaw
Coach: M. Papszun
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Slask Wroclaw
Stal Mielec
GKS Katowice
Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw
Cracovia
Motor Lublin
Slask Wroclaw
Lech Poznan
Slask Wroclaw
S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.