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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Slask Wroclaw
T T T U S
0–0
Full-time
Rakow
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
9%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
36%
17%
Both score Ø 41%
64%
17%
Average goals
2,6
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,6
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 17. · Rakow 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 12 9 1 2 +16 +7.7 28
2 Rakow 12 8 2 2 +12 +9.3 26
3 Cracovia 13 8 2 3 +9 +0.3 26
4 Jagiellonia 12 8 1 3 +3 -1.4 25
5 Pogon Szczecin 13 7 1 5 +4 +3.7 22
6 Legia 12 5 4 3 +8 +7.8 19
7 Widzew Lodz 12 5 4 3 +2 -1.1 19
8 Piast Gliwice 13 5 4 4 +2 +0.2 19
9 GKS Katowice 12 4 4 4 +5 +1.5 16
10 Gornik Zabrze 12 4 3 5 +1 +2.1 15
11 Motor Lublin 13 4 3 6 -8 -4.0 15
12 Zaglebie 12 4 2 6 -8 -3.4 14
13 Radomiak Radom 11 4 0 7 -2 +0.3 12
14 Korona Kielce 12 3 3 6 -9 -5.0 12
15 Stal Mielec 12 3 2 7 -6 +0.7 11
16 Lechia Gdansk 13 2 4 7 -10 -9.7 10
17 Slask Wroclaw 11 1 5 5 -7 -0.3 8
18 Puszcza 13 1 5 7 -12 -8.7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Rakow
A. Petkov 🟨
4′
34′
🟨 G. Berggren
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Braut Brunes
↦ Ivi López
46′
🔁 P. Baráth
↦ V. Kochergin
58′
🟨 Adriano
58′
🔁 E. Otieno
↦ M. Rundić
68′
🔁 P. Makuch
↦ Adriano Amorim
70′
ℹ️ J. Brunes
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
R. Leszczynski 🟨
71′
A. Basse 🔁
↦ S. Musiolik
80′
Ł. Bejger 🔁
↦ T. Guercio
83′
84′
🔁 J. Díaz
↦ M. Ameyaw
Y. Sharabura 🔁
↦ P. Samiec-Talar
87′
Ł. Gerstenstein 🔁
↦ S. Jasper
87′
89′
🟨 P. Barath
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

12 R. Leszczyński
5 A. Petkov
87 S. Petrov
2 A. Paluszek
78 T. Guercio
17 P. Schwarz
16 P. Pokorný
22 M. Żukowski
23 S. Jasper
7 P. Samiec-Talar
11 S. Musiolik
Bench (9)
99 A. Basse
4 Ł. Bejger
24 Y. Sharabura
6 Ł. Gerstenstein
10 J. Świerczok
1 T. Loska
27 F. Rejczyk
33 Y. Matsenko
19 Arnau Ortiz

Coach: J. Magiera

Rakow

1 K. Trelowski
3 M. Rundić
24 Z. Arsenić
4 S. Svarnas
10 Ivi López
5 G. Berggren
20 Jean Carlos
30 V. Kochergin
7 F. Tudor
19 M. Ameyaw
84 Adriano Amorim
Bench (9)
18 J. Braut Brunes
23 P. Baráth
26 E. Otieno
9 P. Makuch
15 J. Díaz
97 L. Lamprou
12 D. Kuciak
8 B. Lederman
88 M. Rodin

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.