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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Korona Kielce

S U S U T

1–0

Full-time

Rakow

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 52%

30%

73%

Points per game

1,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

47%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

63%

37%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,1

2,0

Conceded

1,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

7 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 5

5 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 15. · Rakow 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	30	22	5	3	+41	71
2	Legia	30	17	9	4	+16	60
3	Lech Poznan	31	14	10	7	+15	52
4	Pogon Szczecin	30	14	9	7	+6	51
5	Piast Gliwice	31	13	7	11	+5	46
6	Warta Poznan	31	12	8	11	+4	44
7	Cracovia	31	11	9	11	+4	42
8	Gornik Zabrze	31	11	8	12	+0	41
9	Jagiellonia	31	9	13	9	+5	40
10	Stal Mielec	31	10	9	12	-3	39
11	Widzew Lodz	30	10	8	12	-4	38
12	Radomiak Radom	31	10	8	13	-6	38
13	Zaglebie	31	10	8	13	-12	38
14	Wisla Plock	31	10	7	14	-3	37
15	Korona Kielce	30	9	8	13	-9	35
16	Slask Wroclaw	31	7	11	13	-15	32
17	Lechia Gdansk	31	7	5	19	-26	26
18	Legnica	30	4	10	16	-18	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	14	1	0	+33	43
2	Legia	15	10	5	0	+15	35
3	Wisla Plock	16	8	4	4	+8	28
4	Jagiellonia	16	8	3	5	+8	27
5	Cracovia	15	7	5	3	+11	26
6	Lech Poznan	16	8	2	6	+8	26
7	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	4	3	+4	25
8	Korona Kielce	15	7	3	5	+2	24
9	Warta Poznan	15	5	6	4	+4	21
10	Stal Mielec	15	5	6	4	+3	21
11	Gornik Zabrze	16	5	5	6	-1	20
12	Piast Gliwice	15	5	4	6	+1	19
13	Widzew Lodz	15	5	3	7	-2	18
14	Slask Wroclaw	15	4	6	5	-4	18
15	Radomiak Radom	16	4	4	8	-5	16
16	Lechia Gdansk	16	4	4	8	-8	16
17	Legnica	15	3	6	6	-6	15
18	Zaglebie	16	3	5	8	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	8	4	3	+8	28
2	Piast Gliwice	16	8	3	5	+4	27
3	Lech Poznan	15	6	8	1	+7	26
4	Pogon Szczecin	16	7	5	4	+2	26
5	Legia	15	7	4	4	+1	25
6	Zaglebie	15	7	3	5	-3	24
7	Warta Poznan	16	7	2	7	+0	23
8	Radomiak Radom	15	6	4	5	-1	22
9	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	+1	21
10	Widzew Lodz	15	5	5	5	-2	20
11	Stal Mielec	16	5	3	8	-6	18
12	Cracovia	16	4	4	8	-7	16
13	Slask Wroclaw	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Jagiellonia	15	1	10	4	-3	13
15	Korona Kielce	15	2	5	8	-11	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	3	1	11	-18	10
17	Wisla Plock	15	2	3	10	-11	9
18	Legnica	15	1	4	10	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.