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Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce
S T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Rakow
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 34%
26%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
35%
61%
Both score Ø 44%
32%
55%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Korona Kielce 14. · Rakow 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 31 20 3 8 +35 63
2 Piast Gliwice 31 16 5 10 +8 53
3 Lech Poznan 31 14 10 7 +28 52
4 Slask Wroclaw 31 13 10 8 +7 49
5 Jagiellonia 31 13 8 10 +3 47
6 Cracovia 31 14 4 13 +9 46
7 Lechia Gdansk 31 12 10 9 -1 46
8 Pogon Szczecin 31 12 9 10 -3 45
9 Gornik Zabrze 31 11 11 9 +2 44
10 Rakow 31 13 5 13 -3 44
11 Zaglebie 31 11 8 12 +4 41
12 Wisla Plock 31 10 9 12 -13 39
13 Wisla 31 10 5 16 -12 35
14 Korona Kielce 31 8 6 17 -17 30
15 Arka Gdynia 31 7 9 15 -19 30
16 LKS Lodz 31 5 6 20 -28 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.