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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Slask Wroclaw
U S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Zaglebie
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,41 xG 1,44
54% Possession 46%
21 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 14. · Zaglebie 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.0 3
2 Legia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.2 3
4 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.3 3
5 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.4 3
6 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 -3.6 3
7 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.3 3
8 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.8 3
9 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
10 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.5 3
11 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.7 1
14 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.7 1
15 Piast Gliwice 1 0 0 1 -1 +3.6 0
16 Puszcza 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.9 0
17 Gornik Zabrze 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.1 0
18 LKS Lodz 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Zaglebie
1–0 Erik Expósito
24′
28′
🟨 Bartosz Kopacz
Matías Nahuel 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Pieńko
↦ M. Mróz
53′
D. Kurminowski 1–1
57′
D. Bohar 1–2
K. Chodyna
M. Żukowski 🔁
↦ P. Samiec-Talar
58′
K. Zohorè 🔁
↦ M. Rzuchowski
65′
70′
🔁 A. Woźniak
↦ D. Bohar
K. Borys 🔁
↦ D. Jastrzembski
79′
B. İnce 🔁
↦ P. Janasik
79′
83′
🔁 T. Gaprindashvili
↦ D. Kurminowski
83′
🔁 S. Buletsa
↦ T. Makowski
95′
🔁 F. Kocaba
↦ M. Poletanović
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

4-1-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
27 M. Konczkowski D
4 Ł. Bejger D
5 A. Petkov D
19 P. Janasik D
8 P. Olsen M
24 P. Samiec-Talar M
28 M. Rzuchowski M
10 Nahuel Leiva M
11 D. Jastrzembski M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (8)
22 M. Żukowski
7 K. Zohorè
18 K. Borys
26 B. İnce
35 K. Trelowski
6 S. Lewkot
33 E. Matsenko
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson

Coach: J. Magiera

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
22 S. Weirauch G
27 B. Kłudka D
2 B. Kopacz D
5 A. Ławniczak D
13 M. Grzybek D
6 T. Makowski M
20 M. Poletanović M
7 K. Chodyna M
17 M. Mróz M
39 D. Bohar M
90 D. Kurminowski F
Bench (9)
21 T. Pieńko
11 A. Woźniak
9 T. Gaprindashvili
16 S. Buletsa
35 F. Kocaba
1 J. Burić
30 K. Terlecki
25 M. Nalepa
74 K. Kruk

Coach: W. Fornalik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.