Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Zaglebie
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.3 | 6 |
| 2 |
Rakow
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +2.0 | 3 |
| 3 |
Legia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | – | 3 |
| 4 |
Radomiak Radom
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 5 |
Ruch Chorzow
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -0.3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Widzew Lodz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.4 | 3 |
| 7 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -3.6 | 3 |
| 8 |
Warta Poznan
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 9 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Jagiellonia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.5 | 3 |
| 11 |
Stal Mielec
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | -0.6 | 2 |
| 12 |
Cracovia
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | – | 1 |
| 13 |
Korona Kielce
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.7 | 1 |
| 14 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.7 | 1 |
| 15 |
Piast Gliwice
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +4.2 | 1 |
| 16 |
Puszcza
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -2.9 | 0 |
| 17 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -2.1 | 0 |
| 18 |
LKS Lodz
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | – | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Bednarek
G
A. Czerwiński
D
A. Milić
D
R. Murawski
M
J. Karlström
M
Afonso Sousa
M
M. Ishak
F
Coach: J. van den Brom
F. Majchrowicz
G
C. Donis
M
R. Alves
M
Lisandro Semedo
M
R. Wolski
M
Coach: C. Gâlcă
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lech Poznan
Kauno Žalgiris
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
Rakow
Lech Poznan
D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.