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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Lech Poznan
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Radomiak Radom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,89 xG 1,42
48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lech Poznan 7. · Radomiak Radom 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zaglebie 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.3 6
2 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.0 3
3 Legia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.2 3
5 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.3 3
6 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.4 3
7 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 -3.6 3
8 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.8 3
9 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
10 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.5 3
11 Stal Mielec 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.6 2
12 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.7 1
14 Slask Wroclaw 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.7 1
15 Piast Gliwice 2 0 1 1 -1 +4.2 1
16 Puszcza 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.9 0
17 Gornik Zabrze 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.1 0
18 LKS Lodz 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lech Poznan Radomiak Radom
Radosław Murawski 🟨
25′
25′
🟨 Luís Machado
1–0 M. Ishak
D. Hotić
40′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Damian Jakubik
Elias Andersson 🟨
56′
Kristoffer Velde 🟨
57′
F. Marchwiński 🔁
↦ J. Karlström
62′
66′
🔁 Berto Cayarga
↦ R. Wolski
66′
🔁 J. Grzesik
↦ D. Jakubik
66′
🔁 Edi Semedo
↦ Lisandro Semedo
A. Sobiech 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
72′
F. Szymczak 🔁
↦ D. Hotić
72′
78′
🔁 F. Castañeda
↦ Luís Machado
78′
🔁 Leonardo Rocha
↦ Pedro Henrique
B. Douglas 🔁
↦ E. Andersson
80′
Joel Pereira 🔁
↦ A. Czerwiński
80′
Barry Douglas 🟨
82′
2–0 F. Szymczak
Joel Pereira
83′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
35 F. Bednarek G
44 A. Czerwiński D
23 M. Blažič D
16 A. Milić D
5 E. Andersson D
22 R. Murawski M
6 J. Karlström M
21 D. Hotić M
7 Afonso Sousa M
11 K. Velde M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
10 F. Marchwiński
90 A. Sobiech
17 F. Szymczak
3 B. Douglas
2 Joel Pereira
54 F. Wilak
24 João Amaral
15 M. Gurgul
41 B. Mrozek

Coach: J. van den Brom

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1
1 F. Majchrowicz G
14 D. Jakubik D
29 Raphael Rossi D
16 M. Cichocki D
33 D. Abramowicz D
77 C. Donis M
10 R. Alves M
7 Lisandro Semedo M
27 R. Wolski M
20 Luís Machado M
96 Pedro Henrique F
Bench (9)
80 Berto Cayarga
13 J. Grzesik
99 Edi Semedo
70 F. Castañeda
17 Leonardo Rocha
6 M. Kaput
92 M. Cestor
8 Luizão
12 A. Posiadała

Coach: C. Gâlcă

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.