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Conference League
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Lech Poznan
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Spartak Trnava
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Spartak Trnava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lech Poznan Spartak Trnava
44′
🟨 Filip Bainović
Half-time 1–0
1–0 F. Marchwiński ⚽
46′
2–0 K. Velde ⚽
63′
Elias Andersson 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 M. Ristovski
↦ M. Djuričin
68′
🔁 P. Azango
↦ K. Ofori
F. Szymczak 🔁
↦ K. Velde
77′
78′
🔁 M. Bukata
↦ F. Bainovič
Afonso Sousa 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
87′
87′
⚽ L. Štetina 2–1
91′
🟨 Roman Procházka
A. Sobiech 🔁
↦ F. Marchwiński
92′
93′
🔁 N. Gorosito
↦ E. Daniel
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-1-4-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
23 M. Blažič D
16 A. Milić D
5 E. Andersson D
22 R. Murawski M
21 D. Hotić M
10 F. Marchwiński M
6 J. Karlström M
11 K. Velde M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (10)
17 F. Szymczak
7 Afonso Sousa
90 A. Sobiech
44 A. Czerwiński
41 B. Mrozek
55 M. Pingot
54 F. Wilak
30 N. Kvekveskiri
50 A. Ba Loua
15 M. Gurgul

Coach: J. van den Brom

Spartak Trnava

4-3-3
71 D. Takáč G
24 K. Koštrna D
2 L. Štetina D
26 S. Kóša M
29 M. Mikovič M
25 F. Bainovič M
80 A. Zeljković M
6 R. Procházka M
97 K. Ofori M
7 M. Djuričin F
23 E. Daniel M
Bench (12)
19 M. Ristovski
11 P. Azango
28 M. Bukata
4 N. Gorosito
18 M. Šulek
14 R. Peña
8 S. Štefánik
20 A. Oseni
72 M. Vantruba
5 M. Breznik
31 D. Rusov
13 M. Ujlaky

Coach: M. Gašparík

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.