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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Zaglebie

S S U S S

1–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

83%

100%

Points per game

2,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

18 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Zaglebie 2. · Lech Poznan 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+3	-3.1	6
2	Zaglebie	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
3	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.5	6
4	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
5	Rakow	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.0	4
6	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
7	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
8	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
9	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
10	Widzew Lodz	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.8	3
11	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.7	3
12	LKS Lodz	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
13	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
14	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-1	+4.2	2
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
16	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
17	Gornik Zabrze	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
18	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
2	Rakow	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.0	4
3	Legia	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
7	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
9	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
10	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
12	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
13	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
14	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
15	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+3.6	0
16	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
2	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	-3.6	3
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
6	Piast Gliwice	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
7	Warta Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
9	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
11	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0
12	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
13	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
14	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
15	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.