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Conference League
Referee: César Soto
Spartak Trnava
T T U S T
3–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spartak Trnava Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
19 Free kicks against 9
8 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -23 Lech Poznan – Spartak Trnava 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.