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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

S T T S U

1–1

Full-time

Warta Poznan

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Warta Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 28%

32%

23%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

59%

27%

Both score Ø 53%

64%

41%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 11. · Warta Poznan 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	23	14	6	3	+31	48
2	Pogon Szczecin	23	13	7	3	+20	46
3	Rakow	23	13	6	4	+19	45
4	Lechia Gdansk	22	11	6	5	+11	39
5	Radomiak Radom	22	9	9	4	+9	36
6	Gornik Zabrze	23	9	6	8	+1	33
7	Cracovia	22	8	7	7	+1	31
8	Stal Mielec	23	8	7	8	-3	31
9	Piast Gliwice	23	8	6	9	+2	30
10	Wisla Plock	23	9	3	11	-3	30
11	Jagiellonia	22	7	7	8	-7	28
12	Slask Wroclaw	22	6	7	9	-4	25
13	Leczna	23	5	9	9	-15	24
14	Warta Poznan	22	5	8	9	-7	23
15	Zaglebie	22	7	2	13	-17	23
16	Legia	22	7	1	14	-9	22
17	Wisla	23	6	4	13	-13	22
18	Nieciecza	21	3	7	11	-16	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	11	9	2	0	+25	29
2	Pogon Szczecin	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Lechia Gdansk	11	8	2	1	+12	26
4	Wisla Plock	11	8	2	1	+12	26
5	Rakow	11	7	3	1	+17	24
6	Radomiak Radom	11	5	5	1	+6	20
7	Stal Mielec	12	6	2	4	+1	20
8	Cracovia	11	5	3	3	+3	18
9	Gornik Zabrze	12	5	3	4	+2	18
10	Jagiellonia	11	4	5	2	+4	17
11	Zaglebie	11	5	1	5	+0	16
12	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Legia	11	5	0	6	-1	15
14	Wisla	11	4	2	5	-1	14
15	Leczna	12	3	5	4	-7	14
16	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	4	3	-1	13
17	Nieciecza	11	3	4	4	-3	13
18	Warta Poznan	12	2	6	4	-4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	12	6	3	3	+2	21
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	5	2	+5	20
3	Lech Poznan	12	5	4	3	+6	19
4	Radomiak Radom	11	4	4	3	+3	16
5	Piast Gliwice	11	4	3	4	+3	15
6	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	3	4	-1	15
7	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Cracovia	11	3	4	4	-2	13
9	Slask Wroclaw	12	3	3	6	-3	12
10	Warta Poznan	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Stal Mielec	11	2	5	4	-4	11
12	Jagiellonia	11	3	2	6	-11	11
13	Leczna	11	2	4	5	-8	10
14	Wisla	12	2	2	8	-12	8
15	Legia	11	2	1	8	-8	7
16	Zaglebie	11	2	1	8	-17	7
17	Wisla Plock	12	1	1	10	-15	4
18	Nieciecza	10	0	3	7	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.