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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

T T T S T

4–3

Full-time

Warta Poznan

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Warta Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

64%

36%

Both score Ø 46%

64%

27%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,4

0,7

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 9. · Warta Poznan 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	11	7	3	1	+12	24
2	Legia	11	7	2	2	+6	23
3	Gornik Zabrze	11	6	2	3	+6	20
4	Zaglebie	11	5	3	3	+3	18
5	Cracovia	12	4	6	2	+2	18
6	Slask Wroclaw	11	5	2	4	+5	17
7	Pogon Szczecin	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Lechia Gdansk	11	5	1	5	+1	16
9	Jagiellonia	11	4	2	5	-3	14
10	Lech Poznan	10	3	4	3	+2	13
11	Warta Poznan	11	4	1	6	-3	13
12	Wisla	12	2	5	5	+0	11
13	Wisla Plock	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Piast Gliwice	11	2	3	6	-6	9
15	Stal Mielec	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Podbeskidzie	11	2	3	6	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	6	4	1	1	+5	13
2	Zaglebie	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Cracovia	7	3	3	1	+3	12
4	Slask Wroclaw	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Legia	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	3	0	+4	9
8	Lechia Gdansk	6	3	0	3	+3	9
9	Jagiellonia	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Podbeskidzie	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Lech Poznan	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Stal Mielec	5	2	0	3	-6	6
13	Wisla Plock	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Warta Poznan	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Wisla	5	1	0	4	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Rakow	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Warta Poznan	6	3	0	3	+1	9
5	Wisla	7	1	5	1	+5	8
6	Lech Poznan	6	2	1	3	+1	7
7	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Slask Wroclaw	6	2	0	4	+0	6
10	Zaglebie	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Cracovia	5	1	3	1	-1	6
12	Jagiellonia	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Wisla Plock	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Piast Gliwice	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Stal Mielec	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Podbeskidzie	5	0	2	3	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.