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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Rakow
T S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Legnica
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Legnica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 37%
64%
10%
Points per game
2,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
55%
70%
Both score Ø 54%
27%
80%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rakow 2. · Legnica 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 12 7 3 2 +2 24
2 Rakow 11 7 2 2 +10 23
3 Wisla Plock 12 6 3 3 +10 21
4 Pogon Szczecin 12 6 3 3 +4 21
5 Stal Mielec 12 6 1 5 -1 19
6 Lech Poznan 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Jagiellonia 12 4 5 3 +6 17
8 Widzew Lodz 11 5 2 4 +4 17
9 Cracovia 12 5 2 5 +4 17
10 Zaglebie 12 4 5 3 -2 17
11 Slask Wroclaw 12 4 4 4 -3 16
12 Warta Poznan 12 4 2 6 -3 14
13 Radomiak Radom 12 4 2 6 -5 14
14 Gornik Zabrze 11 3 4 4 -3 13
15 Korona Kielce 12 3 3 6 -4 12
16 Piast Gliwice 11 3 2 6 -2 11
17 Lechia Gdansk 11 2 2 7 -11 8
18 Legnica 10 1 2 7 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Legnica
1–0 Ivi López
F. Tudor
2′
7′
🟨 Jon Aurtenetxe
42′
ℹ️ Olaf Kobacki
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 1–0
B. Nowak 🔁
↦ Ivi López
46′
59′
🟨 Santiago Naveda
61′
🔁 M. Dominguez
↦ S. Matuszek
W. Długosz 🔁
↦ D. Sorescu
64′
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ V. Gutkovskis
64′
71′
🔁 Koldo Obieta
↦ O. Kobacki
76′
ℹ️ Koldo Obieta Alberdi
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Vladan Kovačević 🟨
77′
S. Musiolik 🔁
↦ M. Wdowiak
84′
G. Berggren 🔁
↦ V. Kochergin
84′
Zoran Arsenić 🟨
88′
Gustav Berggren 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Santiago Naveda
91′
🟥 Santiago Naveda
Giannis Papanikolaou 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 V. Kovačević G
7 F. Tudor D
24 Z. Arsenić D
4 S. Svarnas D
22 D. Sorescu M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
30 V. Kochergin M
23 P. Kun M
11 Ivi López F
17 M. Wdowiak F
21 V. Gutkovskis F
Bench (9)
27 B. Nowak
71 W. Długosz
99 F. Piasecki
9 S. Musiolik
5 G. Berggren
8 B. Lederman
12 K. Trelowski
2 T. Petrášek
14 D. Szelągowski

Coach: M. Papszun

Legnica

3-4-2-1
31 M. Abramowicz G
5 L. Gülen D
25 N. Mijušković D
13 Jon Aurtenetxe D
17 M. Kostka M
6 S. Matuszek M
15 S. Naveda M
23 J. Carolina M
8 Chuca F
79 O. Kobacki F
7 Á. Henríquez F
Bench (8)
10 M. Dominguez
11 Koldo Obieta
88 I. Lewandowski
19 J. Cacciabue
3 H. Matynia
70 M. Śliwa
59 M. Lehaire
1 P. Lenarcik

Coach: W. Łobodziński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Kos · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.