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Eliteserien
Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug
Fredrikstad
T T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Kristiansund
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,13 xG 1,32
46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fredrikstad 11. · Kristiansund 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 +31 +25.5 41
2 Viking 17 13 1 3 +23 +14.1 40
3 Tromso 17 10 4 3 +14 +6.3 34
4 Molde 17 8 3 6 +6 +11.6 27
5 Lillestrom 17 8 2 7 +2 +4.7 26
6 Brann 17 8 1 8 +9 +2.1 25
7 Rosenborg 17 7 3 7 +3 +0.3 24
8 Sarpsborg 08 17 6 4 7 -3 +0.6 22
9 Ham-Kam 17 6 4 7 -6 -5.0 22
10 Valerenga 17 6 3 8 -6 -3.4 21
11 Fredrikstad 16 6 2 8 -10 -10.2 20
12 KFUM Oslo 17 5 4 8 -8 -9.7 19
13 Sandefjord 17 5 3 9 -8 -9.3 18
14 Kristiansund 16 4 3 9 -11 -10.8 15
15 Aalesund 17 2 9 6 -14 -11.2 15
16 Start 17 2 4 11 -22 -5.6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Kristiansund
1–0 O. Ohlenschlaeger
S. Rafn
4′
38′
🟨 Heine Gikling Bruseth
Samuel Leach Holm 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
B. Faraas 🔁
↦ S. Leach
46′
54′
🟨 Wilfred George Igor
J. Jezierski 🔁
↦ O. Ohlenschlaeger
56′
S. Laghzaoui 🔁
↦ G. Wesseh
56′
63′
🔁 Z. Bytyqi
↦ S. Kilen
69′
🔁 F. Flex
↦ H. Haugen
69′
🔁 S. Skeide
↦ A. Ronning
S. Owusu 🔁
↦ I. Amundsen
76′
87′
🔁 M. Williamsen
↦ W. Igor
92′
🟨 Leander Alvheim
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

3-4-3
77 M. Borsheim G
38 I. Amundsen D
4 F. Holme D
12 U. Fredriksen D
16 D. Eid M
6 S. Leach M
14 M. Nilsson M
5 S. Rafn M
29 G. Wesseh F
23 H. Skogvold F
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger F
Bench (9)
1 O. Ovretveit
19 F. Ghebreyohannes
28 S. Owusu
18 J. Norbye
24 L. Owusu
21 J. Jezierski
7 B. Faraas
9 S. Laghzaoui
10 J. Nunez

Coach: Casper Rojkjaer

Kristiansund

4-3-3
1 M. Lansing G
22 H. Haugen D
4 J. Juliusson D
5 D. Ulvestad D
6 J. Isaksen D
10 H. Bruseth M
20 W. Igor M
9 S. Kilen M
7 S. Svendsen F
19 L. Alvheim F
27 A. Ronning F
Bench (7)
12 A. Saether
17 M. Williamsen
2 A. Borset
3 F. Flex
23 T. Svendsen
14 S. Skeide
11 Z. Bytyqi

Coach: Amund Skiri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mathias Stofringshaug · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.