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Bundesliga
Referee: Arnes Talic
SK Rapid
S S S S S
8–0
Full-time
Grazer AK
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Grazer AK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–0

5,04 xG 0,62
72% Possession 28%
28 Shots 9
17 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 1
5 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Grazer AK 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 LASK 3 3 0 0 +8 +5.9 9
2 Salzburg 3 2 1 0 +4 +6.5 7
3 Sturm Graz 3 2 1 0 +3 +2.8 7
4 SK Rapid 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.6 6
5 Wolfsberger AC 3 1 1 1 +2 -2.2 4
6 A. Lustenau 3 1 1 1 +0 -0.7 4
7 Altach 3 1 0 2 +0 +0.6 3
8 Grazer AK 2 1 0 1 -2 -0.4 3
9 Austria Vienna 3 1 0 2 -3 -5.2 3
10 Ried 3 0 1 2 -4 -0.1 1
11 Tirol 3 0 1 2 -5 -3.1 1
12 Hartberg 3 0 0 3 -5 -4.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SK Rapid Grazer AK
1–0 E. Kara
5′
2–0 E. Kara
J. Horn
12′
3–0 T. Adamsen
14′
Tonni Adamsen ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
15′
22′
🟨 Tobias Koch
41′
🟨 Alexander Hofleitner
4–0 N. Cvetkovic
M. Seidl
42′
5–0 T. Adamsen
45′
Half-time 5–0
46′
🟨 Leon Klassen
46′
🔁 I. Guerti
↦ A. Smits
46′
🔁 D. Maderner
↦ A. Hofleitner
6–0 Y. Demir
R. Amane
56′
58′
🟨 Donovan Pines
68′
🔁 P. Markovic
↦ T. Koch
N. Wurmbrand 🔁
↦ P. Dahl
69′
N. Bajlicz 🔁
↦ R. Amane
70′
7–0 T. Adamsen
74′
J. M. Scholler 🔁
↦ N. Cvetkovic
80′
M. Tilio 🔁
↦ E. Kara
80′
M. Haidara 🔁
↦ Y. Demir
84′
8–0 T. Adamsen
M. Tilio
86′
Full-time 8–0

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
1 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla D
55 N. Cvetkovic D
6 S. Raux-Yao D
38 J. Horn D
18 M. Seidl M
29 R. Amane M
22 Y. Demir M
8 T. Adamsen M
10 P. Dahl M
9 E. Kara F
Bench (9)
25 P. Gartler
23 J. Auer
4 J. M. Scholler
21 L. Schaub
17 T. Gulliksen
30 N. Bajlicz
15 N. Wurmbrand
7 M. Tilio
43 M. Haidara

Coach: Johannes Thorup

Grazer AK

3-1-4-2
23 C. Stankovic G
82 B. Owusu D
2 D. Pines D
3 L. Vraa D
6 L. Hermesh M
48 M. Gragger M
8 T. Koch M
34 P. Michorl M
32 L. Klassen M
7 A. Smits F
25 A. Hofleitner F
Bench (9)
1 J. Meierhofer
72 P. Markovic
30 C. Hasenhuttl
17 S. Mandey
11 M. Grosse
10 C. Lichtenberger
29 I. Guerti
9 D. Maderner
70 N. F. Brown Ugo

Coach: Joachim Standfest

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.