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Allsvenskan

Referee: Tess Olofsson

Orgryte

T U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Brommapojkarna

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orgryte Brommapojkarna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

3,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,43 xG 1,47

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Orgryte 9. · Brommapojkarna 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	3	3	0	0	+8	+5.1	9
2	Hacken	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.8	7
3	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+3	–	7
4	Elfsborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.8	7
5	AIK	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.4	7
6	Hammarby	3	2	0	1	+8	+2.9	6
7	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
8	Vasteras SK	3	1	1	1	-2	-4.2	4
9	Orgryte	3	1	1	1	-5	-3.6	4
10	Degerfors	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.1	3
11	Mjallby	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
12	Brommapojkarna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.2	2
13	Halmstad	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1
14	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.9	1
15	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	–	0
16	GAIS	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+10	+2.9	6
2	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.3	6
3	AIK	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
4	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
5	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
6	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
7	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.4	3
8	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
9	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
10	Vasteras SK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
11	Orgryte	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Halmstad	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.4	1
13	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.5	0
16	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
2	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
3	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
4	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.8	3
5	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.5	3
6	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Vasteras SK	2	1	0	1	-2	-3.3	3
8	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-5	-3.6	3
9	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Goteborg	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.4	1
11	Brommapojkarna	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
12	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
13	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0
14	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
15	GAIS	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
16	Mjallby	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.