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Championship

Referee: Josh Smith

Burnley

T U T U U

2–2

Full-time

West Ham

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley West Ham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,33 xG 1,33

46% Possession 54%

18 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
5	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
6	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
7	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
8	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
9	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
11	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
12	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
13	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
14	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
15	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
16	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
17	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
18	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
19	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0
20	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
2	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
3	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
4	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
5	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
6	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
7	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
8	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
9	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0
10	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
4	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
5	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
6	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
7	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
8	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
9	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
10	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.